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"years_active": 5, "first_year": 2021, "latest_year": "2025", "avg_annual_fob": 1970683.1, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 5.75 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 0, "p75": 0 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "first_year": 2021, "latest_year": 2025, "first_year_fob": 2206408.2699999996, "latest_year_fob": 2056537.3599999999, "peak_year": 2021, "peak_fob": 2206408.2699999996, "avg_annual_fob": 1970683.0999999992, "median_annual_fob": 2056537.3599999999, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.9320747152565741, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.06792528474342585, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.9320747152565741, "peak_multiple": 1.0728753646371878, "cagr_fob": -0.01743185142939474 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [], "dominant_group": null, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "total_group_count": 0, "summary_text": "", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": {} }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": null, "china_top1_latest_share": 0, "entry_window_verdict": "standard_entry", "top_supplier_pct": 0.7868096042433206, "supplier_count": 9, "top_supplier_sample_count": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "low", "label": "低渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "no_dominant", "raw_key": "no_dominant", "label": "无明显主供", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "stable", "label": "平稳型" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "concentrated", "label": "中度集中" }, "scenario_key": "low_penetration_growth", "scenario_label": "低渗透 · 培育型", "opportunity_type": "新渗透型", "action_level": "立刻开发", "entry_position": "打试单 / 二供入口", "advantage_focus": "扩大试单 + 稳定交付", "resource_boundary": "先把小单验证做稳，不要一上来谈全面替代。", "matrix_mode": "low_penetration", "size_tier": "Tier A", "output_depth": "full", "size_variant": "large", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0.0049656081183220195, "annualized_fob": 1970683.0999999992, "active_years": 5, "shipment_count": 848, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 6418.759393570595, "top_supplier_pct": 0.7868096042433206, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.9320747152565741, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.06792528474342585, "cagr_fob": -0.01743185142939474, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2021, "peak_fob": 2206408.2699999996, "latest_year_fob": 2056537.3599999999 }, "trigger_summary": [ "低渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "平稳型 · 末年/峰值 93%", "高度集中（HHI 6,419 · Top1 79%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {}, "decision_summary": null }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2021, "prev_year": 2024, "last_year": 2025, "gap_years": 1, "freshness": "fresh", "trend_prefix": "最近一年（2024→2025）", "warning_text": "" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 848, "band_count": 3, "range_multiple": 231799.6554126496, "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $0.00–$0.04（FOB 占比 32%）；中价带 $0.04–$0.07（FOB 占比 45%）；高价带 $0.07–$694.55（FOB 占比 23%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 283, "fob_total_usd": 3136284.070000003, "fob_share": 0.31829410522676177, "min_unit_price": 0.0029963375, "max_unit_price": 0.03535614973262032, "avg_unit_price": 0.029551565147509003, "median_unit_price": 0.031249955357142856 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 283, "fob_total_usd": 4413831.890000001, "fob_share": 0.4479494333716064, "min_unit_price": 0.03536156914893617, "max_unit_price": 0.07069928229665072, "avg_unit_price": 0.04931911103792213, "median_unit_price": 0.04871905660377358 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 282, "fob_total_usd": 2303299.5399999996, "fob_share": 0.2337564614016329, "min_unit_price": 0.07070697916666667, "max_unit_price": 694.55, "avg_unit_price": 19.3774407833961, "median_unit_price": 0.16305972222222223 } ] }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "total_fob", "market_share", "priority_score", "annual_trend", "cagr", "latest_vs_peak", "supplier_structure", "top_supplier_trajectory", "china_penetration", "scenario", "procurement_rhythm", "port_distribution", "payment_distribution", "market_benchmark" ], "degraded": [ "price_analysis", "group_structure" ], "skipped": [] } }