{ "project_id": "col-901831", "entity_id": "687b649c-38d5-4732-8593-edd2b1982b05", "provider_stack": [], "report_type": "competitive_intel", "report_mode": "baseline", "facts_pack": { "importer": { "entity_id": "687b649c-38d5-4732-8593-edd2b1982b05", "canonical_name": "GLOBALVET S.A", "country": null, "rank": 145, "market_share": 0.000057804530730538006, "tax_id": "900084969", "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 5744.34, "cif_total_usd": 6280.089999999999, "qty_total": 2675, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_shipment_fob": 1914.78, "fob_last_12m": 36, "fob_last_24m": 36, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 5708.34, "2013": 36 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 1475, "2013": 1200 }, "yoy_growth_fob": -0.9936934380222622, "yoy_growth_qty": -0.1864406779661017, "cagr_fob": -0.9936934380222622, "cagr_qty": -0.18644067796610164, "trend_direction": "declining", "peak_year": "2010", "peak_fob": 5708.34, "momentum_score": 4, "supplier_count": 2, "china_supplier_count": 0, "china_pct_fob": 0, "top_supplier_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "top_supplier_pct": 0.9937329614890483, "hhi": 9875.444745214922, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": 1.3100203389830507, "median_unit_price_usd": 0.03, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.03, "max_unit_price_usd": 3.8700610169491525, "price_range_multiple": 129.0020338983051, "cif_fob_ratio": 1.093265718951176, "primary_port": "Santa Fe de Bogota", "port_distribution_json": { "Santa Fe de Bogota": 3 }, "transport_mode_primary": "AIR", "transport_distribution_json": { "AIR": 3 }, "payment_method_primary": "IMPORTACION QUE NO GENERA PAGO AL EXTERIOR", "payment_distribution_json": { "PAGOS ANTICIPADOS": 1, "IMPORTACION QUE NO GENERA PAGO AL EXTERIOR": 2 }, "fob_by_month_json": { "7": 2854.17, "10": 18 }, "peak_months": [ 7, 10 ], "low_months": [ 7, 10 ], "seasonality_score": 0.9874659229780967, "next_peak_month": 7, "priority_score": 4, "active_years": 2, "annualized_fob": 2872.17, "first_year_fob": 5708.34, "latest_year_fob": 36, "median_yearly_fob": 2872.17, "peak_multiple": 1.9874659229780967, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.0063065619777378365, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.0063065619777378365, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.9936934380222622, "china_fob": 0, "china_penetration": 0, "penetration_tier": "zero", "penetration_tier_label": "零渗透", "top1_supplier_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "top1_supplier_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "top1_is_non_china_lead": true, "top1_cumulative_share": 0.9937329614890483, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_year_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year": 2010, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 5708.34, "top1_latest_year_fob": 5708.34, "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share": 0.9937329614890483, "new_supplier_count": 1, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "single_locked", "barrier_tier_label": "单一锁定", "price_band_count": 1, "main_price_band_share": 1, "price_band_breakdown": [ { "label": "主价格带", "trade_count": 3, "fob_total_usd": 5744.34, "fob_share": 1, "min_unit_price": 0.03, "max_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "avg_unit_price": 1.310020338983051, "median_unit_price": 0.03 } ], "supplier_price_gap": 129.0020338983051, "scenario_id": "zero_penetration_shrinking", "scenario_name": "零渗透·收缩型", "supplier_motion": "stable", "supplier_motion_label": "主供稳定", "supplier_motion_raw": "stable", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "shrinking", "trend_label_name": "持续萎缩", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "fob": 5708.34, "pct": 0.9937329614890483, "qty": 1475, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2013": 0 } }, { "entity_id": "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6", "name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "fob": 36, "pct": 0.00626703851095165, "qty": 1200, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 0.03, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2013": 1 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 99375255.32, "annualized_fob_p25": 829.48875, "annualized_fob_p50": 5880, "annualized_fob_p75": 28810.355, "annualized_fob_p90": 98798.611, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 5, "window_score": 0, "barrier_score": 1.5, "trend_score": 1, "barrier_score_base": 2.5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "Top1 过高", "delta": -1 } ], "barrier_score_reason": "single_locked 基础分 2.5，Top1 过高-1.0", "trend_score_base": 1.5, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "收缩严重", "delta": -0.5 } ], "trend_score_reason": "shrinking 基础分 1.5，收缩严重-0.5", "priority_score_v2": 1, "priority_weighted_raw": 2, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": "zero_penetration_shrinking_force_1", "priority_level": "暂时忽略", "rank": 145, "market_share": 0.000057804530730538006, "name": "GLOBALVET S.A", "tax_id": "900084969" } }, "market": { "total_fob": 99375254.12000006, "importer_count": 262, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": 0.04360417882338011, "hs_code": "9018312000", "hs_code_6": "901831", "product_category": "Medical Devices", "hs_description": "Syringes, with or without needles", "hs_description_zh": "注射器，不论是否带针头", "hs_description_es": "Jeringas, incluso con aguja", "total_records": 4814, "country": "哥伦比亚", "country_code": "COL", "snapshot_date": "2015-06-27", "status": "published" }, "top_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "fob": 5708.34, "pct": 0.9937329614890483, "qty": 1475, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2013": 0 }, "canonical_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 48, "supplier_market_share": 0.0015421057234673375, "supplier_total_fob": 153247.14999999997, "supplier_importer_count": 4, "customer_hhi": 7734.633691099354, "competitive_index": 6.41, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508" ], "aliases": [ "COTRAN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6", "name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "fob": 36, "pct": 0.00626703851095165, "qty": 1200, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 0.03, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2013": 1 }, "canonical_name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 269, "supplier_market_share": 3.622632201957698e-7, "supplier_total_fob": 36, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 2.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6" ], "aliases": [ "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "all_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "fob": 5708.34, "pct": 0.9937329614890483, "qty": 1475, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2013": 0 }, "canonical_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 48, "supplier_market_share": 0.0015421057234673375, "supplier_total_fob": 153247.14999999997, "supplier_importer_count": 4, "customer_hhi": 7734.633691099354, "competitive_index": 6.41, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508" ], "aliases": [ "COTRAN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6", "name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "fob": 36, "pct": 0.00626703851095165, "qty": 1200, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 0.03, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2013": 1 }, "canonical_name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 269, "supplier_market_share": 3.622632201957698e-7, "supplier_total_fob": 36, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 2.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6" ], "aliases": [ "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "raw_supplier_count": 2, "raw_top_supplier_count": 2 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 1.5, "frequency_tier": "低频/项目型采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 592, "gap_cv": 1, "rhythm_label": "常规补货", "years_active": 2, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2013", "avg_annual_fob": 2872.17, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 3 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 1.25, "p75": 1.75 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2013 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_fob": 5708.34, "latest_year_fob": 36, "peak_year": 2010, "peak_fob": 5708.34, "avg_annual_fob": 2872.17, "median_annual_fob": 2872.17, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.0063065619777378365, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.9936934380222622, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.0063065619777378365, "peak_multiple": 1.9874659229780967, "cagr_fob": -0.9936934380222622 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [ { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "COTRAN" ], "primary_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "members": [ { "entity_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "fob": 5708.34, "pct": 0.9937329614890483, "qty": 1475, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2013": 0 }, "canonical_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 48, "supplier_market_share": 0.0015421057234673375, "supplier_total_fob": 153247.14999999997, "supplier_importer_count": 4, "customer_hhi": 7734.633691099354, "competitive_index": 6.41, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508" ], "aliases": [ "COTRAN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.9937329614890483, "total_fob": 5708.34, "label": "COTRAN", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, { "id": "group-2", "tokens": [ "LABORATORIO", "HISPANOAMERICANO" ], "primary_name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "members": [ { "entity_id": "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6", "name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "fob": 36, "pct": 0.00626703851095165, "qty": 1200, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 0.03, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2013": 1 }, "canonical_name": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 269, "supplier_market_share": 3.622632201957698e-7, "supplier_total_fob": 36, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 2.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6" ], "aliases": [ "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO, S.A. DE C.V." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.00626703851095165, "total_fob": 36, "label": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 } ], "dominant_group": { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "COTRAN" ], "primary_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "members": [ { "entity_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "fob": 5708.34, "pct": 0.9937329614890483, "qty": 1475, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2013": 0 }, "canonical_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 48, "supplier_market_share": 0.0015421057234673375, "supplier_total_fob": 153247.14999999997, "supplier_importer_count": 4, "customer_hhi": 7734.633691099354, "competitive_index": 6.41, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508" ], "aliases": [ "COTRAN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.9937329614890483, "total_fob": 5708.34, "label": "COTRAN", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 2, "total_group_count": 2, "summary_text": "表面上有 2 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 2 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 2 个，占 100.0%。 其中 COTRAN 占比最高，约 99.4%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "COTRAN", "group_share": 0.9937329614890483, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false }, "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6": { "group_id": "group-2", "group_label": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO", "group_share": 0.00626703851095165, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.9937329614890483, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 5708.34, "new_supplier_count": 1, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 129.0020338983051, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "COTRAN CORPORATION", "supplier_entity_id": "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508", "total_share": 0.9937329614890483, "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.9937329614890483, "account_shipment_count": 1, "account_annualized_shipments": 1, "account_avg_gap_days": null, "account_rhythm_label": "样本不足", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2010, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "COTRAN", "group_share": 0.9937329614890483, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 已停止采购 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。 2010年 100% → 2013年 0%（-100pp）；2010 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 99% · 已退出当前样本", "share_window_fob_estimate": 2872.17 }, "top_supplier_pct": 0.9937329614890483, "supplier_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "shrinking", "label": "持续萎缩" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "insufficient_data", "scenario_label": "样本不足 · 待核验", "opportunity_type": "待核验型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "先核验现状", "advantage_focus": "确认是否仍在采购 + 样本是否有效", "resource_boundary": "样本记录仅 3 条，别按正式开发账户投入节奏、样品和报价。", "matrix_mode": "insufficient_data", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": "screening", "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 2872.17, "active_years": 2, "shipment_count": 3, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 9875.444745214922, "top_supplier_pct": 0.9937329614890483, "top1_first_year_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2010, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.0063065619777378365, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.9936934380222622, "cagr_fob": -0.9936934380222622, "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.9937329614890483, "new_supplier_count": 1, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 129.0020338983051, "peak_year": 2010, "peak_fob": 5708.34, "latest_year_fob": 36 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供退出 · 2010年 100% → 2013年 0%（-100pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 1%", "单一锁定（HHI 9,875 · Top1 99%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "2e529d30-3bb5-4416-b1e4-f39fab242508": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.9937329614890483, "account_shipment_count": 1, "account_annualized_shipments": 1, "account_avg_gap_days": null, "account_rhythm_label": "样本不足", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2010, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "COTRAN", "group_share": 0.9937329614890483, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 已停止采购 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。 2010年 100% → 2013年 0%（-100pp）；2010 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 99% · 已退出当前样本" }, "cf8a2f70-b473-4793-8e79-6c6408d0f4c6": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "边缘/试单型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "试单观察中", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 0.00626703851095165, "account_shipment_count": 2, "account_annualized_shipments": 2, "account_avg_gap_days": null, "account_rhythm_label": "一次性/低频采购", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_share": 0, "latest_year_share": 1, "importer_latest_year_share": 1, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2013, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2013, "last_active_year": 2013, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": true, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2013, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "LABORATORIO HISPANOAMERICANO", "group_share": 0.00626703851095165, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "边缘/试单型 · 试单观察中", "competitive_signal": "尾部或试单关系更像窗口信号，重点不是量，而是看门有没有开。 到 2013 年才进入样本。", "attack_focus": "重点看这种小单对应的是特殊规格、临时补货，还是验证单。", "entry_angle": "先把它当成窗口信号，不要把这种小额关系误判成能立刻大规模替代。", "entry_difficulty": "中低", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 1%" } } }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2010, "last_year": 2013, "gap_years": 13, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2013年（相较2010年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2013 年，距今已 13 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 3, "band_count": 1, "range_multiple": 129.0020338983051, "summary_text": "样本期价格主要集中在单一价格带，中位成交价约 $0.03。", "bands": [ { "label": "主价格带", "trade_count": 3, "fob_total_usd": 5744.34, "fob_share": 1, "min_unit_price": 0.03, "max_unit_price": 3.8700610169491525, "avg_unit_price": 1.310020338983051, "median_unit_price": 0.03 } ] }, "decision_summary": { "scenario_key": "insufficient_data", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "scenario_action_level": "暂时忽略", "opportunity_type": "待核验型", "entry_position": "先核验现状", "advantage_focus": "确认是否仍在采购 + 样本是否有效", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": "screening", "supply_structure_label": "单一锁定", "priority_score": 1, "legacy_priority_score": 4, "score_formula": "0.3×体量分 + 0.3×窗口分 + 0.2×壁垒分 + 0.2×趋势分 + 时效修正", "score_breakdown": [ { "label": "体量分", "value": "5.0 / 10", "detail": "年均 FOB $3K" }, { "label": "窗口分", "value": "0.0 / 10", "detail": "样本不足 · 待核验" }, { "label": "壁垒分", "value": "1.5 / 10", "detail": "single_locked 基础分 2.5，Top1 过高-1.0" }, { "label": "趋势分", "value": "1.0 / 10", "detail": "shrinking 基础分 1.5，收缩严重-0.5" }, { "label": "时效修正", "value": "-0.75", "detail": "历史" } ], "score_modifier_summary": [ "零渗透且持续收缩，强制降为不建议投入", "该账户综合分偏低，建议审慎评估投入产出比。" ], "scenario_label": "样本不足 · 待核验", "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供退出 · 2010年 100% → 2013年 0%（-100pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 1%", "单一锁定（HHI 9,875 · Top1 99%）" ], "trigger_facts": [ { "label": "年均 FOB", "value": "$3K" }, { "label": "CAGR", "value": "-99.4%" }, { "label": "峰值年", "value": "2010 · $6K" }, { "label": "末年 / 峰值", "value": "1%" }, { "label": "主供份额轨迹", "value": "2010年 100% → 2013年 0%（-100pp）" }, { "label": "退出供应商", "value": "1 家 · 历史份额 99%" }, { "label": "新进入供应商", "value": "1 家" }, { "label": "供应商价差", "value": "129.0x" } ] }, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 3, "date_min": "2010-07-28", "date_max": "2013-10-24", "total_fob_usd": 5744.34, "hs_codes": [ "9018319000" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "9018319000", "row_count": 3, "fob_total_usd": 5744.34, "fob_share": 1 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 2 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-06T12:12:01.402Z" }