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"NIPRO", "affiliated_to_importer": true, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0.30325149219822034, "external_group_count": 0, "total_group_count": 1, "summary_text": "表面上有 1 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 1 个供应集团。 与 importer 明显同集团/同品牌的关联供应体系合计占 30.3%。 其中 NIPRO 占比最高，约 30.3%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "060b6ead-875c-44f8-b325-e39bac8932d6": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "NIPRO", "group_share": 0.30325149219822034, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": true } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.30325149219822034, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 197780.79, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "NIPRO MEDICAL CORPORATION 1422", "supplier_entity_id": "060b6ead-875c-44f8-b325-e39bac8932d6", "total_share": 0.30325149219822034, "supplier_affiliation": "集团关联方", "share_role": "核心跟随型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.30325149219822034, "account_shipment_count": 36, "account_annualized_shipments": 36, "account_avg_gap_days": 9, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2021, "latest_year": 2024, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2021, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2021, "last_active_year": 2021, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2021, "to_year": 2024, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "NIPRO", "group_share": 0.30325149219822034, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": true, "relationship_summary": "核心跟随型 · 已停止采购 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这更像体系内供方，先把它当成壁垒来看，不要急着当成替代目标。 2021年 100% → 2024年 0%（-100pp）；2021 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "先搞清楚它卡住的是集团采购、指定品牌，还是注册/合规这类门槛。", "entry_angle": "先找体系外补单、非核心规格或外部窗口，再决定要不要正面投入。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 30% · 已退出当前样本", "share_window_fob_estimate": 209046.91999999995 }, "china_top1_latest_share": 0, "entry_window_verdict": "standard_entry", "top_supplier_pct": 0.30325149219822034, "supplier_count": 3, "top_supplier_sample_count": 1, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0.30325149219822034 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2021, "to_year": 2024, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "stable", "label": "平稳型" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "concentrated", "label": "中度集中" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_education", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 教育型（小客户）", "opportunity_type": "新渗透型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "打试单 / 非核心规格", "advantage_focus": "教育成本可控 + 小单验证", "resource_boundary": "先证明这类品类能接受中国来源，再决定值不值得长期投入。", "matrix_mode": "zero_education", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 163050.13749999998, "active_years": 4, "shipment_count": 293, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 3362.4181311617776, "top_supplier_pct": 0.37622298846574115, "top1_first_year_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2021, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2021, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 1, "latest_vs_first_growth": 0.0569627110903943, "cagr_fob": 0.018638035845478962, "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.30325149219822034, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2024, "peak_fob": 209046.91999999995, "latest_year_fob": 209046.91999999995 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供退出 · 2021年 100% → 2024年 0%（-100pp）", "平稳型 · 末年/峰值 100%", "中度集中（HHI 3,362 · Top1 38%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "060b6ead-875c-44f8-b325-e39bac8932d6": { "supplier_affiliation": "集团关联方", "share_role": "核心跟随型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.30325149219822034, "account_shipment_count": 36, "account_annualized_shipments": 36, "account_avg_gap_days": 9, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2021, "latest_year": 2024, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2021, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2021, "last_active_year": 2021, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2021, "to_year": 2024, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "NIPRO", "group_share": 0.30325149219822034, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": true, "relationship_summary": "核心跟随型 · 已停止采购 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这更像体系内供方，先把它当成壁垒来看，不要急着当成替代目标。 2021年 100% → 2024年 0%（-100pp）；2021 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "先搞清楚它卡住的是集团采购、指定品牌，还是注册/合规这类门槛。", "entry_angle": "先找体系外补单、非核心规格或外部窗口，再决定要不要正面投入。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 30% · 已退出当前样本" } } }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2021, "prev_year": 2023, "last_year": 2024, "gap_years": 2, "freshness": "fresh", "trend_prefix": "最近一年（2023→2024）", "warning_text": "" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 293, "band_count": 3, "range_multiple": 74734.69298286816, "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $0.00–$0.03（FOB 占比 35%）；中价带 $0.03–$0.05（FOB 占比 42%）；高价带 $0.05–$155.99（FOB 占比 23%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 98, "fob_total_usd": 229331.43, "fob_share": 0.35162716437451635, "min_unit_price": 0.002087235294117647, "max_unit_price": 0.03448984375, "avg_unit_price": 0.025427080123830027, "median_unit_price": 0.026943489130434782 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 98, "fob_total_usd": 273994.7099999999, "fob_share": 0.4201080633863309, "min_unit_price": 0.03449, "max_unit_price": 0.0475, "avg_unit_price": 0.040399470971895224, "median_unit_price": 0.03773 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 97, "fob_total_usd": 148874.41000000003, "fob_share": 0.22826477223915254, "min_unit_price": 0.0475, "max_unit_price": 155.98888888888888, "avg_unit_price": 11.153469082855931, "median_unit_price": 0.0806 } ] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 293, "date_min": "2021-01-20", "date_max": "2024-07-05", "total_fob_usd": 652200.55, "hs_codes": [ "9018311910", "9018319000", "9018311900", "90183119" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "9018311910", "row_count": 158, "fob_total_usd": 282206.67000000004, "fob_share": 0.4326992211214787 }, { "hs_code": "90183119", "row_count": 36, "fob_total_usd": 197780.79, "fob_share": 0.3032514921982203 }, { "hs_code": "9018311900", "row_count": 71, "fob_total_usd": 125514.58000000003, "fob_share": 0.19244782912249925 }, { "hs_code": "9018319000", "row_count": 28, "fob_total_usd": 46698.509999999995, "fob_share": 0.0716014575578018 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 11 }, "generated_at": "2026-05-23T11:37:00.669Z" }