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"price_band_breakdown": [], "supplier_price_gap": null, "scenario_id": "zero_penetration_shrinking", "scenario_name": "零渗透·收缩型", "supplier_motion": "stable", "supplier_motion_label": "主供稳定", "supplier_motion_raw": "stable", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "shrinking", "trend_label_name": "持续萎缩", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 319570, "pct": 0.4837308290798564, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2022, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2022, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.5426493487087095, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5426493487087095, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.5426493487087095, "supplier_delta": -0.5426493487087095, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0.5426493487087095, "2023": 0 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 156089, "pct": 0.23627080570843853, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2022, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2022, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.26504864095689135, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.26504864095689135, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.26504864095689135, "supplier_delta": -0.26504864095689135, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0.26504864095689135, "2023": 0 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 119132, "pct": 0.18032925847213896, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2022, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2023, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.19230201033439914, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.08203097770776116, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.08203097770776116, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.19230201033439914, "supplier_delta": -0.11027103262663798, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0.19230201033439914, "2023": 0.08203097770776116 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 65845, "pct": 0.09966910673956611, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2023, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2023, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0, "2023": 0.9179690222922389 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 4, "external_group_count": 4, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 21874982, "annualized_fob_p25": 5822, "annualized_fob_p50": 26990.5, "annualized_fob_p75": 94848.33333333333, "annualized_fob_p90": 293266.4666666667, "data_freshness": "fresh", "data_freshness_label": "新鲜", "volume_score": 10, "window_score": 0, "barrier_score": 5, "trend_score": 1, "barrier_score_base": 5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [], "barrier_score_reason": "concentrated 基础分 5.0，无额外修正", "trend_score_base": 1.5, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "收缩严重", "delta": -0.5 } ], "trend_score_reason": "shrinking 基础分 1.5，收缩严重-0.5", "priority_score_v2": 1, "priority_weighted_raw": 4.2, "priority_freshness_modifier": 0, "priority_override": "zero_penetration_shrinking_force_1", "priority_level": "暂时忽略", "rank": 10, "market_share": 0.0302005277078628, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 319570, "pct": 0.4837308290798564, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2022, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2022, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.5426493487087095, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5426493487087095, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.5426493487087095, "supplier_delta": -0.5426493487087095, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0.5426493487087095, "2023": 0 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 156089, "pct": 0.23627080570843853, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2022, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2022, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.26504864095689135, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.26504864095689135, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.26504864095689135, "supplier_delta": -0.26504864095689135, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0.26504864095689135, "2023": 0 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 119132, "pct": 0.18032925847213896, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2022, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2023, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.19230201033439914, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.08203097770776116, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.08203097770776116, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.19230201033439914, "supplier_delta": -0.11027103262663798, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0.19230201033439914, "2023": 0.08203097770776116 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 65845, "pct": 0.09966910673956611, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 5, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2023, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2023, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.9179690222922389, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2022": 0, "2023": 0.9179690222922389 } } ], "active_year_count": 2, "name": "COMITE INTERNACIONAL DE LA CRUZ ROJ", "tax_id": null } }, "market": { "total_fob": 21874972, "importer_count": 89, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": null, "market_median_unit_price_usd": null, "hs_code": "9018311900", "hs_code_6": "901831", "product_category": "医疗器械 · 注射器", "hs_description": "Syringes, with or without needles", "hs_description_zh": "注射器（带针或不带针）", "hs_description_es": "Jeringas, con o sin aguja", "total_records": 492, "country": "委内瑞拉", "country_code": "VEN", "snapshot_date": "2024-08-01", "status": "draft", "project_last_year": 2024, "market_china_pct": 0.8995725802197232, "market_fob_by_year": { "2021": 794300, "2022": 6650813, "2023": 12361655, "2024": 2068214 } }, "top_suppliers": [], "all_suppliers": [], "raw_supplier_count": 4, "raw_top_supplier_count": 0 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 8, "frequency_tier": "低频/项目型采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 46.6, "gap_cv": 1.65, "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "years_active": 2, "first_year": 2022, "latest_year": "2023", "avg_annual_fob": 330318, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 3 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 0, "p75": 0 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2022, 2023 ], "first_year": 2022, "latest_year": 2023, "first_year_fob": 588907, "latest_year_fob": 71729, "peak_year": 2022, "peak_fob": 588907, "avg_annual_fob": 330318, "median_annual_fob": 330318, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.12180021633296938, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.8781997836670307, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.12180021633296938, "peak_multiple": 1.7828486488777482, "cagr_fob": -0.8781997836670307 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [], "dominant_group": null, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "total_group_count": 0, "summary_text": "", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": {} }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": null, "top_supplier_pct": 0.4837308290798564, "supplier_count": 4, "top_supplier_sample_count": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "shrinking", "label": "持续萎缩" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "concentrated", "label": "中度集中" }, "scenario_key": "insufficient_data", "scenario_label": "样本不足 · 待核验", "opportunity_type": "待核验型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "先核验现状", "advantage_focus": "确认是否仍在采购 + 样本是否有效", "resource_boundary": "样本年数偏少或核心触发指标不足，别按正式开发账户投入节奏、样品和报价。", "matrix_mode": "insufficient_data", "size_tier": "Tier B", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": "screening", "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 330318, "active_years": 2, "shipment_count": 16, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 3322.7198093177453, "top_supplier_pct": 0.4837308290798564, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.12180021633296938, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.8781997836670307, "cagr_fob": -0.8781997836670307, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2022, "peak_fob": 588907, "latest_year_fob": 71729 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 12%", "中度集中（HHI 3,323 · Top1 48%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {}, "decision_summary": null }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2022, "prev_year": 2022, "last_year": 2023, "gap_years": 3, "freshness": "aging", "trend_prefix": "截至2023年（相较2022年）", "warning_text": "这份数据截至 2023 年，距今约 3 年。可用于判断历史采购结构，但正式投入前建议再补官网、联系人和最近采购信号。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "total_fob", "market_share", "priority_score", "annual_trend", "cagr", "latest_vs_peak", "supplier_structure", "top_supplier_trajectory", "china_penetration", "scenario", "procurement_rhythm", "port_distribution", "market_benchmark" ], "degraded": [ "group_structure" ], "skipped": [ "price_analysis", "payment_distribution" ] } }