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      "first_year": 2010,
      "latest_year": 2014,
      "first_year_fob": 81796,
      "latest_year_fob": 204536.7,
      "peak_year": 2013,
      "peak_fob": 641467.6199999999,
      "avg_annual_fob": 263385.686,
      "median_annual_fob": 204536.7,
      "latest_vs_first_ratio": 2.5005709325639396,
      "latest_vs_first_growth": 1.5005709325639396,
      "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.31885740390138484,
      "peak_multiple": 3.1361981492807884,
      "cagr_fob": 0.4954341482421112
    },
    "supplier_rollup": {
      "groups": [
        {
          "id": "group-1",
          "tokens": [
            "FLIER"
          ],
          "primary_name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
          "members": [
            {
              "entity_id": "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a",
              "name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
              "fob": 1178569.4000000001,
              "pct": 0.8949380795127949,
              "qty": 12217900,
              "shipment_count": 72,
              "avg_unit_price": 0.09646251810867662,
              "is_china": true,
              "supplier_first_active_year": 2010,
              "supplier_latest_active_year": 2014,
              "supplier_active_years": 5,
              "supplier_first_year_share": 1,
              "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
              "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
              "supplier_peak_year_share": 1,
              "supplier_delta": -0.17951154976099648,
              "supplier_status": "declining",
              "supplier_share_by_year": {
                "2010": 1,
                "2011": 1,
                "2012": 0.978291368558488,
                "2013": 0.8462522239236331,
                "2014": 0.8204884502390035
              },
              "canonical_name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
              "country": null,
              "supplier_rank": 19,
              "supplier_market_share": 0.010174075490229854,
              "supplier_total_fob": 1178569.4000000001,
              "supplier_importer_count": 1,
              "customer_hhi": 10000,
              "competitive_index": 5.81,
              "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商",
              "entity_ids": [
                "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a"
              ],
              "aliases": [
                "FLIER GLOBAL LTD."
              ],
              "variant_count": 1
            }
          ],
          "total_share": 0.8949380795127949,
          "total_fob": 1178569.4000000001,
          "label": "FLIER",
          "affiliated_to_importer": false,
          "member_count": 1
        },
        {
          "id": "group-2",
          "tokens": [
            "FABRICA",
            "ENVASES",
            "FOSKO"
          ],
          "primary_name": "FABRICA DE ENVASES FOSKO S.A.",
          "members": [
            {
              "entity_id": "06ef1c84-02f3-442c-8120-820d2278830d",
              "name": "FABRICA DE ENVASES FOSKO S.A.",
              "fob": 138359.03,
              "pct": 0.10506192048720522,
              "qty": 1530000,
              "shipment_count": 8,
              "avg_unit_price": 0.09043073856209151,
              "is_china": false,
              "supplier_first_active_year": 2012,
              "supplier_latest_active_year": 2014,
              "supplier_active_years": 3,
              "supplier_first_year_share": 0.021708631441512083,
              "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.17951154976099643,
              "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.17951154976099643,
              "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.17951154976099643,
              "supplier_delta": 0.15780291831948434,
              "supplier_status": "expanding",
              "supplier_share_by_year": {
                "2010": 0,
                "2011": 0,
                "2012": 0.021708631441512083,
                "2013": 0.15374777607636692,
                "2014": 0.17951154976099643
              },
              "canonical_name": "FABRICA DE ENVASES FOSKO S.A.",
              "country": null,
              "supplier_rank": 29,
              "supplier_market_share": 0.0038761978364943886,
              "supplier_total_fob": 449020.4700000001,
              "supplier_importer_count": 2,
              "customer_hhi": 5736.241727525808,
              "competitive_index": 6.02,
              "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商",
              "entity_ids": [
                "06ef1c84-02f3-442c-8120-820d2278830d"
              ],
              "aliases": [
                "FABRICA DE ENVASES FOSKO S.A."
              ],
              "variant_count": 1
            }
          ],
          "total_share": 0.10506192048720522,
          "total_fob": 138359.03,
          "label": "FABRICA ENVASES",
          "affiliated_to_importer": false,
          "member_count": 1
        }
      ],
      "dominant_group": {
        "id": "group-1",
        "tokens": [
          "FLIER"
        ],
        "primary_name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
        "members": [
          {
            "entity_id": "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a",
            "name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
            "fob": 1178569.4000000001,
            "pct": 0.8949380795127949,
            "qty": 12217900,
            "shipment_count": 72,
            "avg_unit_price": 0.09646251810867662,
            "is_china": true,
            "supplier_first_active_year": 2010,
            "supplier_latest_active_year": 2014,
            "supplier_active_years": 5,
            "supplier_first_year_share": 1,
            "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
            "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
            "supplier_peak_year_share": 1,
            "supplier_delta": -0.17951154976099648,
            "supplier_status": "declining",
            "supplier_share_by_year": {
              "2010": 1,
              "2011": 1,
              "2012": 0.978291368558488,
              "2013": 0.8462522239236331,
              "2014": 0.8204884502390035
            },
            "canonical_name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
            "country": null,
            "supplier_rank": 19,
            "supplier_market_share": 0.010174075490229854,
            "supplier_total_fob": 1178569.4000000001,
            "supplier_importer_count": 1,
            "customer_hhi": 10000,
            "competitive_index": 5.81,
            "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商",
            "entity_ids": [
              "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a"
            ],
            "aliases": [
              "FLIER GLOBAL LTD."
            ],
            "variant_count": 1
          }
        ],
        "total_share": 0.8949380795127949,
        "total_fob": 1178569.4000000001,
        "label": "FLIER",
        "affiliated_to_importer": false,
        "member_count": 1
      },
      "affiliated_share": 0,
      "external_group_count": 2,
      "total_group_count": 2,
      "summary_text": "表面上有 2 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 2 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 2 个，占 100.0%。 其中 FLIER 占比最高，约 89.5%。",
      "uncertain_group_pairs": [],
      "uncertain_group_summary": "",
      "by_supplier": {
        "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a": {
          "group_id": "group-1",
          "group_label": "FLIER",
          "group_share": 0.8949380795127949,
          "group_member_count": 1,
          "affiliated_to_importer": false
        },
        "06ef1c84-02f3-442c-8120-820d2278830d": {
          "group_id": "group-2",
          "group_label": "FABRICA ENVASES",
          "group_share": 0.10506192048720522,
          "group_member_count": 1,
          "affiliated_to_importer": false
        }
      }
    },
    "supplier_structure_metrics": {
      "exited_supplier_count": 0,
      "exited_supplier_share_total": 0,
      "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0,
      "new_supplier_count": 0,
      "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 1.0031642727721055,
      "top_supplier_metrics": {
        "supplier_name": "FLIER GLOBAL LTD.",
        "supplier_entity_id": "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a",
        "total_share": 0.8949380795127949,
        "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方",
        "share_role": "主导型",
        "frequency_role": "高频采购",
        "trend_role": "份额回落中",
        "price_role": "高价带",
        "sample_share": 0.8949380795127949,
        "account_shipment_count": 72,
        "account_annualized_shipments": 14.4,
        "account_avg_gap_days": 22.48,
        "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购",
        "first_year": 2010,
        "latest_year": 2014,
        "first_year_share": 1,
        "latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "importer_latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "peak_share": 1,
        "peak_share_year": 2010,
        "share_delta_first_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "first_active_year": 2010,
        "last_active_year": 2014,
        "first_active_share": 1,
        "last_active_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "last_active_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "active_year_count": 5,
        "exited_in_latest_year": false,
        "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false,
        "share_change_reference": {
          "from_year": 2010,
          "to_year": 2014,
          "from_share": 1,
          "to_share": 0.8204884502390035,
          "delta": -0.17951154976099648
        },
        "group_label": "FLIER",
        "group_share": 0.8949380795127949,
        "group_member_count": 1,
        "group_affiliated_to_importer": false,
        "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 份额回落中 · 高价带",
        "competitive_signal": "这个主供的份额在往下掉，客户大概率在重新分货。 2010年 100% → 2014年 82%（-18pp）。",
        "attack_focus": "重点看它掉下来的到底是哪类规格、交期，还是哪个价格带，这是最现实的切口。",
        "entry_angle": "先切次核心品类、交付波动的环节，或者比较容易被拆开的那一小块。",
        "entry_difficulty": "中高",
        "difficulty_reason": "供货 5 年 · 累计份额 89% · 末年份额在回落",
        "share_window_fob_estimate": 47280.772678723195
      },
      "top_supplier_pct": 0.8949380795127949,
      "supplier_count": 2,
      "top_supplier_sample_count": 2,
      "external_group_count": 2,
      "affiliated_share": 0
    },
    "scenario_assessment": {
      "penetration_tier": {
        "key": "high",
        "label": "高渗透"
      },
      "lead_supplier_motion": {
        "key": "declining",
        "raw_key": "declining",
        "label": "主供回落",
        "override_applied": false,
        "reference": {
          "from_year": 2010,
          "to_year": 2014,
          "from_share": 1,
          "to_share": 0.8204884502390035,
          "delta": -0.17951154976099648
        }
      },
      "demand_pattern": {
        "key": "pulse_reverted",
        "label": "脉冲后回归"
      },
      "barrier_tier": {
        "key": "single_locked",
        "label": "单一锁定"
      },
      "scenario_key": "limited_window",
      "scenario_label": "壁垒松动 · 增量有限",
      "opportunity_type": "有限窗口型",
      "action_level": "先研究",
      "entry_position": "小切口验证 / 流失份额",
      "advantage_focus": "小切口验证 + 流失份额",
      "resource_boundary": "窗口存在，但客户自己的增量有限，不宜重仓。",
      "matrix_mode": "limited_window",
      "size_tier": "Tier B",
      "output_depth": "compact",
      "size_variant": "small",
      "compact_template": null,
      "trigger_metrics": {
        "china_penetration": 0.8949380795127949,
        "annualized_fob": 263385.686,
        "active_years": 5,
        "shipment_count": 80,
        "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3,
        "hhi": 8119.521732985096,
        "top_supplier_pct": 0.8949380795127949,
        "top1_first_year_share": 1,
        "top1_first_active_year": 2010,
        "top1_first_active_share": 1,
        "top1_latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "top1_peak_share": 1,
        "top1_peak_share_year": 2010,
        "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.31885740390138484,
        "latest_vs_first_growth": 1.5005709325639396,
        "cagr_fob": 0.4954341482421112,
        "exited_supplier_count": 0,
        "exited_supplier_share_total": 0,
        "new_supplier_count": 0,
        "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 1.0031642727721055,
        "peak_year": 2013,
        "peak_fob": 641467.6199999999,
        "latest_year_fob": 204536.7
      },
      "trigger_summary": [
        "高渗透（中国采购 89%）",
        "主供回落 · 2010年 100% → 2014年 82%（-18pp）",
        "脉冲后回归 · 末年/峰值 32%",
        "高度集中（HHI 8,120 · Top1 89%）"
      ]
    },
    "supplier_analysis": {
      "8517114e-ecc7-4ccc-b11c-a6a8efbcf62a": {
        "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方",
        "share_role": "主导型",
        "frequency_role": "高频采购",
        "trend_role": "份额回落中",
        "price_role": "高价带",
        "sample_share": 0.8949380795127949,
        "account_shipment_count": 72,
        "account_annualized_shipments": 14.4,
        "account_avg_gap_days": 22.48,
        "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购",
        "first_year": 2010,
        "latest_year": 2014,
        "first_year_share": 1,
        "latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "importer_latest_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "peak_share": 1,
        "peak_share_year": 2010,
        "share_delta_first_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.17951154976099648,
        "first_active_year": 2010,
        "last_active_year": 2014,
        "first_active_share": 1,
        "last_active_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "last_active_year_share": 0.8204884502390035,
        "active_year_count": 5,
        "exited_in_latest_year": false,
        "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false,
        "share_change_reference": {
          "from_year": 2010,
          "to_year": 2014,
          "from_share": 1,
          "to_share": 0.8204884502390035,
          "delta": -0.17951154976099648
        },
        "group_label": "FLIER",
        "group_share": 0.8949380795127949,
        "group_member_count": 1,
        "group_affiliated_to_importer": false,
        "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 份额回落中 · 高价带",
        "competitive_signal": "这个主供的份额在往下掉，客户大概率在重新分货。 2010年 100% → 2014年 82%（-18pp）。",
        "attack_focus": "重点看它掉下来的到底是哪类规格、交期，还是哪个价格带，这是最现实的切口。",
        "entry_angle": "先切次核心品类、交付波动的环节，或者比较容易被拆开的那一小块。",
        "entry_difficulty": "中高",
        "difficulty_reason": "供货 5 年 · 累计份额 89% · 末年份额在回落"
      },
      "06ef1c84-02f3-442c-8120-820d2278830d": {
        "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方",
        "share_role": "核心跟随型",
        "frequency_role": "低频采购",
        "trend_role": "份额扩张中",
        "price_role": "高价带",
        "sample_share": 0.10506192048720522,
        "account_shipment_count": 8,
        "account_annualized_shipments": 2.67,
        "account_avg_gap_days": 62.29,
        "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购",
        "first_year": 2010,
        "latest_year": 2014,
        "first_year_share": 0,
        "latest_year_share": 0.17951154976099643,
        "importer_latest_year_share": 0.17951154976099643,
        "peak_share": 0.17951154976099643,
        "peak_share_year": 2014,
        "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0.17951154976099643,
        "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0.15780291831948434,
        "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0,
        "first_active_year": 2012,
        "last_active_year": 2014,
        "first_active_share": 0.021708631441512083,
        "last_active_share": 0.17951154976099643,
        "last_active_year_share": 0.17951154976099643,
        "active_year_count": 3,
        "exited_in_latest_year": false,
        "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false,
        "share_change_reference": {
          "from_year": 2012,
          "to_year": 2014,
          "from_share": 0.021708631441512083,
          "to_share": 0.17951154976099643,
          "delta": 0.15780291831948434
        },
        "group_label": "FABRICA ENVASES",
        "group_share": 0.10506192048720522,
        "group_member_count": 1,
        "group_affiliated_to_importer": false,
        "relationship_summary": "核心跟随型 · 份额扩张中 · 高价带",
        "competitive_signal": "这个二供区间在放量，说明这块份额既在长，也最容易被人抢。 2012年 2% → 2014年 18%（+16pp）。",
        "attack_focus": "先确认它吃到的是新增需求，还是主供主动让出来的补位份额。",
        "entry_angle": "更适合先抢第二供应商位置，而不是直接冲主供整盘份额。",
        "entry_difficulty": "中",
        "difficulty_reason": "供货 3 年 · 累计份额 11% · 末年份额还在扩张"
      }
    },
    "decision_summary": null
  },
  "time_context": {
    "first_year": 2010,
    "prev_year": 2013,
    "last_year": 2014,
    "gap_years": 12,
    "freshness": "stale",
    "trend_prefix": "截至2014年（相较2013年）",
    "warning_text": "数据截止 2014 年，距今已 12 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。"
  },
  "price_analysis": {
    "sample_count": 80,
    "band_count": 3,
    "range_multiple": 9.692307692307693,
    "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $0.03–$0.03（FOB 占比 11%）；中价带 $0.03–$0.10（FOB 占比 15%）；高价带 $0.11–$0.25（FOB 占比 73%）。",
    "bands": [
      {
        "label": "低价带",
        "trade_count": 27,
        "fob_total_usd": 148684,
        "fob_share": 0.11290211116484136,
        "min_unit_price": 0.026,
        "max_unit_price": 0.028,
        "avg_unit_price": 0.02681481481481483,
        "median_unit_price": 0.026
      },
      {
        "label": "中价带",
        "trade_count": 27,
        "fob_total_usd": 202056.02999999997,
        "fob_share": 0.15342977294521615,
        "min_unit_price": 0.028,
        "max_unit_price": 0.10060366666666667,
        "avg_unit_price": 0.05418556807191215,
        "median_unit_price": 0.041
      },
      {
        "label": "高价带",
        "trade_count": 26,
        "fob_total_usd": 966188.4000000001,
        "fob_share": 0.7336681158899426,
        "min_unit_price": 0.114,
        "max_unit_price": 0.252,
        "avg_unit_price": 0.19963372463999818,
        "median_unit_price": 0.21387499999999998
      }
    ]
  },
  "capability_summary": {
    "full": [
      "total_fob",
      "market_share",
      "priority_score",
      "annual_trend",
      "cagr",
      "latest_vs_peak",
      "supplier_structure",
      "top_supplier_trajectory",
      "china_penetration",
      "scenario",
      "procurement_rhythm",
      "port_distribution",
      "payment_distribution",
      "market_benchmark"
    ],
    "degraded": [
      "price_analysis",
      "group_structure"
    ],
    "skipped": []
  }
}