{ "report_type": "importer", "artifact_mode": "preview", "importer_contract_version": "v1.0", "shared_aggregator_version": "shared-aggregator-v1", "compare_mode": false, "report_mode": "enriched", "report_tier": "enriched", "generated_at": "2026-04-12T11:37:30.046Z", "project": { "id": "col-901831", "country": "COL", "country_name": "哥伦比亚", "hs_code": "9018312000", "hs_code_6": "901831", "product_category": "Medical Devices", "snapshot_date": "2015-06-27" }, "importer": { "entity_id": "9f445ee6-407f-4690-891f-21f0e4b6ea66", "canonical_name": "AGROINSUMOS HORIZONTE S.A.S.", "tax_id": "900300738", "city": null, "industry_hint": null, "report_tier": "enriched" }, "market_context": { "source_release_id": null, "parent_market_release": null, "parent_market_contract_version": null, "market_rank": 57, "market_share_pct": 0.0012227956641245833, "penetration_tier": "low", "growth_direction": "growing", "product_tier": null, "target_band_id": null, "buyer_access_type": "commercial", "route": "new_customer", "total_fob": 114599053.77000012, "importer_count": 262, "hs_code": "9018312000", "hs_code_6": "901831", "product_category": "Medical Devices", "country": "COL", "country_name": "哥伦比亚", "source_snapshot_date": "2015-06-27" }, "scale": { "fob_total_usd": 141649.19, "cif_total_usd": 150784.93000000005, "quantity_total": 3733463, "shipment_count": 29, "avg_shipment_fob": 4884.454827586207, "active_years": 6, "latest_shipment_date": "2015-06-22" }, "trend": { "fob_by_year": { "2010": 3244.79, "2011": 2183.6, "2012": 543, "2013": 57290.25, "2014": 56434, "2015": 21953.55 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 1308, "2011": 750, "2012": 200, "2013": 2313300, "2014": 612305, "2015": 805600 }, "shipment_by_year": { "2010": 2, "2011": 2, "2012": 1, "2013": 12, "2014": 10, "2015": 5 }, "cagr_fob": 0.683719, "cagr_reliable": false, "cagr_unreliable_reason": "first_year_below_50k", "yoy_growth_fob": -0.610987, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 57290.25, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.383199, "trend_pattern": "growing", "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "annual_outliers": [ { "year": 2012, "type": "outlier_drop", "yoy_growth_fob": -0.751328 }, { "year": 2013, "type": "outlier_spike", "yoy_growth_fob": 104.506906 }, { "year": 2015, "type": "outlier_drop", "yoy_growth_fob": -0.610987 } ] }, "penetration": { "china_penetration": 0.072669, "penetration_tier": "low", "china_supplier_count": 1, "china_fob_total": 10293.55, "non_china_fob_total": 131355.64, "penetration_direction": "rising" }, "supplier_structure": { "supplier_count": 4, "hhi": 7897.099770987886, "top1_supplier_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "top1_cumulative_share": 0.072669, "new_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_count": 2, "supplier_yearly_trend": [ { "supplier_entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "supplier_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "origin_country": null, "origin_country_display_name_zh": null, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 57290.25, "2014": 56434, "2015": 11660 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 } }, { "supplier_entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "supplier_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "origin_country": "China", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 10293.55 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 } }, { "supplier_entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "supplier_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "origin_country": null, "origin_country_display_name_zh": null, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 3244.79, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } }, { "supplier_entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "supplier_name": "SYRVET INC", "origin_country": null, "origin_country_display_name_zh": null, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 2183.6, "2012": 543, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } } ], "sourcing_pattern": "diversified", "suppliers": [ { "supplier_entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "supplier_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "origin_country": null, "origin_country_display_name_zh": null, "fob_total_usd": 125384.25, "share_pct": 0.8851744934086809, "active_years": 3 }, { "supplier_entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "supplier_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "origin_country": "China", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_total_usd": 10293.55, "share_pct": 0.07266931777018985, "active_years": 1 }, { "supplier_entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "supplier_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "origin_country": null, "origin_country_display_name_zh": null, "fob_total_usd": 3244.79, "share_pct": 0.022907225943191063, "active_years": 1 }, { "supplier_entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "supplier_name": "SYRVET INC", "origin_country": null, "origin_country_display_name_zh": null, "fob_total_usd": 2726.6, "share_pct": 0.019248962877938095, "active_years": 2 } ] }, "group_structure": { "capability": "full", "detection_method": "nit_match + web_corporate_structure", "affiliated_group_share": 0, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "external_group_count": 4, "uncertain_group_pairs": [] }, "pricing": { "render_status": "rendered", "avg_unit_price_usd": 4.238751, "median_unit_price_usd": 2.715, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.012867, "max_unit_price_usd": 18.7532, "price_range_multiple": 1457.471912, "price_band_count": 3, "market_price_benchmark": { "market_avg_unit_price_usd": 0.043011, "market_median_unit_price_usd": 0.090974, "position": "above_market", "position_basis": "median_vs_median" } }, "logistics": { "render_status": "rendered", "transport_mode_primary": "SEA", "port_distribution": [ { "name": "Turbo", "count": 14, "share_pct": 0.4827586206896552 }, { "name": "Medellin", "count": 12, "share_pct": 0.41379310344827586 }, { "name": "Cartagena", "count": 2, "share_pct": 0.06896551724137931 }, { "name": "Buenaventura", "count": 1, "share_pct": 0.034482758620689655 } ], "payment_distribution": [ { "name": "GIRO DIRECTO", "count": 29, "share_pct": 1 } ], "cif_fob_ratio": 1.064496, "fob_by_month": { "1": 1059.9333333333334, "2": 116.90499999999999, "3": 3286.6566666666663, "5": 271.59999999999997, "6": 2582.5, "8": 423.8933333333334, "9": 9184.226666666667, "10": 937.66, "11": 2320.99, "12": 3423.8333333333335 }, "frequency_tier": "seasonal", "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购" }, "scenario": { "route": "new_customer", "route_source": "market_context", "route_override": null, "route_override_reason": null, "priority_level": "P2", "entry_position": "replace_current_supplier", "barrier_type": "brand_lock", "route_reason_codes": [ "low_mid_penetration", "active_buyer", "new_customer_route" ] }, "scoring": { "priority_score": 5.3, "priority_score_version": "importer_priority_v1", "score_breakdown": { "volume_score": 6.5, "window_score": 7, "barrier_score": 5, "trend_score": 4.8, "retention_score": 0 } }, "traceability": { "shared_aggregator_version": "shared-aggregator-v1", "shared_aggregator_release": null, "shared_aggregator_checksum": { "method": "anchor_values", "anchors": { "fob_total_usd": 141649.19, "supplier_count": 4, "china_penetration": 0.072669, "market_rank": 57 } }, "checksum_summary": { "fob_total_usd": 141649.19, "supplier_fob_sum": 141649.19, "china_penetration": 0.072669 }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "scale", "trend", "penetration", "supplier_structure", "group_structure", "pricing", "logistics", "scenario", "scoring" ], "degraded": [], "skipped": [] } }, "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 141649.19, "cif_total_usd": 150784.93000000005, "qty_total": 3733463, "shipment_count": 29, "avg_shipment_fob": 4884.454827586207, "fob_last_12m": 58766.56, "fob_last_24m": 135677.8, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 3244.79, "2011": 2183.6, "2012": 543, "2013": 57290.25, "2014": 56434, "2015": 21953.55 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 1308, "2011": 750, "2012": 200, "2013": 2313300, "2014": 612305, "2015": 805600 }, "yoy_growth_fob": -0.6109871708544494, "yoy_growth_qty": 0.3156841770032908, "cagr_fob": 0.6837190736298406, "cagr_qty": 3.150575726035796, "trend_direction": "growing", "peak_year": "2013", "peak_fob": 57290.25, "momentum_score": 0.7936486328279212, "supplier_count": 4, "china_supplier_count": 1, "china_pct_fob": 0.07266931777018985, "top_supplier_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "top_supplier_pct": 0.8851744934086809, "hhi": 7897.099770987886, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": 4.238751229856946, "median_unit_price_usd": 2.715, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.0128669375, "max_unit_price_usd": 18.7532, "price_range_multiple": 1457.4719120225773, "cif_fob_ratio": 1.0644955329430408, "primary_port": "Turbo", "port_distribution_json": { "Cartagena": 2, "Medellin": 12, "Turbo": 14, "Buenaventura": 1 }, "transport_mode_primary": "SEA", "transport_distribution_json": { "SEA": 17, "AIR": 9, "Aereo": 3 }, "payment_method_primary": "GIRO DIRECTO", "payment_distribution_json": { "GIRO DIRECTO": 29 }, "fob_by_month_json": { "1": 1059.9333333333334, "2": 116.90499999999999, "3": 3286.6566666666663, "5": 271.59999999999997, "6": 2582.5, "8": 423.8933333333334, "9": 9184.226666666667, "10": 937.66, "11": 2320.99, "12": 3423.8333333333335 }, "peak_months": [ 9, 12, 3 ], "low_months": [ 8, 5, 2 ], "seasonality_score": 1, "next_peak_month": 9, "priority_score": 6.5, "active_years": 6, "annualized_fob": 23608.198333333334, "first_year_fob": 3244.79, "latest_year_fob": 21953.55, "median_yearly_fob": 12599.17, "peak_multiple": 4.547144772234996, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.38319871182269233, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 6.7657845345923775, "latest_vs_first_growth": 5.7657845345923775, "cagr_reliable": false, "cagr_unreliable_reason": "first_year_below_50k", "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "china_fob": 10293.55, "china_penetration": 0.07266931777018985, "penetration_tier": "low", "penetration_tier_label": "低渗透", "top1_supplier_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "top1_supplier_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "top1_is_non_china_lead": false, "top1_cumulative_share": 0.07266931777018985, "top1_first_active_year": 2015, "top1_first_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_peak_year": 2015, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 10293.55, "top1_latest_year_fob": 10293.55, "top1_last_active_year_fob": 10293.55, "exited_supplier_count": 2, "exited_supplier_share": 0.04215618882112916, "new_supplier_count": 1, "external_group_count": 4, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "concentrated", "barrier_tier_label": "中度集中", "price_band_count": 3, "main_price_band_share": 0.7055028694481063, "price_band_breakdown": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 99933.91, "fob_share": 0.7055028694481063, "min_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "max_unit_price": 1.978, "avg_unit_price": 0.7930075207720688, "median_unit_price": 0.02034938839507115 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 24198.73, "fob_share": 0.1708356397943398, "min_unit_price": 2.018421052631579, "max_unit_price": 2.902727272727273, "avg_unit_price": 2.599653792853345, "median_unit_price": 2.7424999999999997 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 9, "fob_total_usd": 17516.55, "fob_share": 0.12366149075755392, "min_unit_price": 2.95, "max_unit_price": 18.7532, "avg_unit_price": 9.88857472551081, "median_unit_price": 3.708022813688213 } ], "supplier_price_gap": 223.06048064334615, "scenario_id": "low_penetration_growth", "scenario_name": "低渗透·培育型", "supplier_motion": "no_dominant", "supplier_motion_label": "无明显主供", "supplier_motion_raw": "no_dominant", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "pulse_reverted", "trend_label_name": "脉冲后回归", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 } }, { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 } }, { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } }, { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 4, "external_group_count": 4, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 115840441.83, "annualized_fob_p25": 1000, "annualized_fob_p50": 6215.95, "annualized_fob_p75": 34260, "annualized_fob_p90": 118904.35933333338, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 6.5, "window_score": 7, "barrier_score": 5, "trend_score": 4.8, "barrier_score_base": 5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [], "barrier_score_reason": "concentrated 基础分 5.0，无额外修正", "trend_score_base": 4, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "长期 CAGR 为正", "delta": 0.8 } ], "trend_score_reason": "pulse_reverted 基础分 4.0，长期 CAGR 为正+0.8", "priority_score_v2": 5.3, "priority_weighted_raw": 6.01, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "先研究", "rank": 57, "market_share": 0.0012227956641245833, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 } }, { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 } }, { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } }, { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } } ], "active_year_count": 6, "name": "AGROINSUMOS HORIZONTE S.A.S.", "tax_id": "900300738" }, "facts_pack": { "importer": { "entity_id": "9f445ee6-407f-4690-891f-21f0e4b6ea66", "canonical_name": "AGROINSUMOS HORIZONTE S.A.S.", "country": null, "rank": 57, "market_share": 0.0012227956641245833, "tax_id": "900300738", "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 141649.19, "cif_total_usd": 150784.93000000005, "qty_total": 3733463, "shipment_count": 29, "avg_shipment_fob": 4884.454827586207, "fob_last_12m": 58766.56, "fob_last_24m": 135677.8, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 3244.79, "2011": 2183.6, "2012": 543, "2013": 57290.25, "2014": 56434, "2015": 21953.55 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 1308, "2011": 750, "2012": 200, "2013": 2313300, "2014": 612305, "2015": 805600 }, "yoy_growth_fob": -0.6109871708544494, "yoy_growth_qty": 0.3156841770032908, "cagr_fob": 0.6837190736298406, "cagr_qty": 3.150575726035796, "trend_direction": "growing", "peak_year": "2013", "peak_fob": 57290.25, "momentum_score": 0.7936486328279212, "supplier_count": 4, "china_supplier_count": 1, "china_pct_fob": 0.07266931777018985, "top_supplier_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "top_supplier_pct": 0.8851744934086809, "hhi": 7897.099770987886, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": 4.238751229856946, "median_unit_price_usd": 2.715, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.0128669375, "max_unit_price_usd": 18.7532, "price_range_multiple": 1457.4719120225773, "cif_fob_ratio": 1.0644955329430408, "primary_port": "Turbo", "port_distribution_json": { "Cartagena": 2, "Medellin": 12, "Turbo": 14, "Buenaventura": 1 }, "transport_mode_primary": "SEA", "transport_distribution_json": { "SEA": 17, "AIR": 9, "Aereo": 3 }, "payment_method_primary": "GIRO DIRECTO", "payment_distribution_json": { "GIRO DIRECTO": 29 }, "fob_by_month_json": { "1": 1059.9333333333334, "2": 116.90499999999999, "3": 3286.6566666666663, "5": 271.59999999999997, "6": 2582.5, "8": 423.8933333333334, "9": 9184.226666666667, "10": 937.66, "11": 2320.99, "12": 3423.8333333333335 }, "peak_months": [ 9, 12, 3 ], "low_months": [ 8, 5, 2 ], "seasonality_score": 1, "next_peak_month": 9, "priority_score": 6.5, "active_years": 6, "annualized_fob": 23608.198333333334, "first_year_fob": 3244.79, "latest_year_fob": 21953.55, "median_yearly_fob": 12599.17, "peak_multiple": 4.547144772234996, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.38319871182269233, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 6.7657845345923775, "latest_vs_first_growth": 5.7657845345923775, "cagr_reliable": false, "cagr_unreliable_reason": "first_year_below_50k", "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "china_fob": 10293.55, "china_penetration": 0.07266931777018985, "penetration_tier": "low", "penetration_tier_label": "低渗透", "top1_supplier_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "top1_supplier_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "top1_is_non_china_lead": false, "top1_cumulative_share": 0.07266931777018985, "top1_first_active_year": 2015, "top1_first_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_peak_year": 2015, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": 0.4688786096098353, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 10293.55, "top1_latest_year_fob": 10293.55, "top1_last_active_year_fob": 10293.55, "exited_supplier_count": 2, "exited_supplier_share": 0.04215618882112916, "new_supplier_count": 1, "external_group_count": 4, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "concentrated", "barrier_tier_label": "中度集中", "price_band_count": 3, "main_price_band_share": 0.7055028694481063, "price_band_breakdown": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 99933.91, "fob_share": 0.7055028694481063, "min_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "max_unit_price": 1.978, "avg_unit_price": 0.7930075207720688, "median_unit_price": 0.02034938839507115 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 24198.73, "fob_share": 0.1708356397943398, "min_unit_price": 2.018421052631579, "max_unit_price": 2.902727272727273, "avg_unit_price": 2.599653792853345, "median_unit_price": 2.7424999999999997 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 9, "fob_total_usd": 17516.55, "fob_share": 0.12366149075755392, "min_unit_price": 2.95, "max_unit_price": 18.7532, "avg_unit_price": 9.88857472551081, "median_unit_price": 3.708022813688213 } ], "supplier_price_gap": 223.06048064334615, "scenario_id": "low_penetration_growth", "scenario_name": "低渗透·培育型", "supplier_motion": "no_dominant", "supplier_motion_label": "无明显主供", "supplier_motion_raw": "no_dominant", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "pulse_reverted", "trend_label_name": "脉冲后回归", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 } }, { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 } }, { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } }, { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 4, "external_group_count": 4, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 115840441.83, "annualized_fob_p25": 1000, "annualized_fob_p50": 6215.95, "annualized_fob_p75": 34260, "annualized_fob_p90": 118904.35933333338, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 6.5, "window_score": 7, "barrier_score": 5, "trend_score": 4.8, "barrier_score_base": 5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [], "barrier_score_reason": "concentrated 基础分 5.0，无额外修正", "trend_score_base": 4, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "长期 CAGR 为正", "delta": 0.8 } ], "trend_score_reason": "pulse_reverted 基础分 4.0，长期 CAGR 为正+0.8", "priority_score_v2": 5.3, "priority_weighted_raw": 6.01, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "先研究", "rank": 57, "market_share": 0.0012227956641245833, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 } }, { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 } }, { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } }, { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 } } ], "active_year_count": 6, "name": "AGROINSUMOS HORIZONTE S.A.S.", "tax_id": "900300738" } }, "market": { "total_fob": 114599053.77000012, "importer_count": 262, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": 0.043011453483906774, "market_median_unit_price_usd": 0.09097425570776256, "hs_code": "9018312000", "hs_code_6": "901831", "product_category": "Medical Devices", "hs_description": "Syringes, with or without needles", "hs_description_zh": "注射器，不论是否带针头", "hs_description_es": "Jeringas, incluso con aguja", "total_records": 5595, "country": "哥伦比亚", "country_code": "COL", "snapshot_date": "2015-06-27", "status": "published" }, "top_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 }, "canonical_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 54, "supplier_market_share": 0.001113568352832309, "supplier_total_fob": 128996.25, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 9454.707018611183, "competitive_index": 3.85, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb" ], "aliases": [ "NEOGEN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 }, "canonical_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 143, "supplier_market_share": 0.00008885972668427968, "supplier_total_fob": 10293.55, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196" ], "aliases": [ "GLOMARKET LIMITED" ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "canonical_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 47, "supplier_market_share": 0.0017014956684061535, "supplier_total_fob": 197102.00999999998, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 6406.982175335552, "competitive_index": 4.4, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd" ], "aliases": [ "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "canonical_name": "SYRVET INC", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 136, "supplier_market_share": 0.000118937046357431, "supplier_total_fob": 13777.72, "supplier_importer_count": 2, "customer_hhi": 6825.297661823941, "competitive_index": 2.87, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8" ], "aliases": [ "SYRVET INC" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "all_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 }, "canonical_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 54, "supplier_market_share": 0.001113568352832309, "supplier_total_fob": 128996.25, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 9454.707018611183, "competitive_index": 3.85, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb" ], "aliases": [ "NEOGEN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 }, "canonical_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 143, "supplier_market_share": 0.00008885972668427968, "supplier_total_fob": 10293.55, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196" ], "aliases": [ "GLOMARKET LIMITED" ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "canonical_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 47, "supplier_market_share": 0.0017014956684061535, "supplier_total_fob": 197102.00999999998, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 6406.982175335552, "competitive_index": 4.4, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd" ], "aliases": [ "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 }, { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "canonical_name": "SYRVET INC", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 136, "supplier_market_share": 0.000118937046357431, "supplier_total_fob": 13777.72, "supplier_importer_count": 2, "customer_hhi": 6825.297661823941, "competitive_index": 2.87, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8" ], "aliases": [ "SYRVET INC" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "raw_supplier_count": 4, "raw_top_supplier_count": 4 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 4.83, "frequency_tier": "低频/项目型采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 62.87, "gap_cv": 1.45, "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "years_active": 6, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2015", "avg_annual_fob": 23608.2, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 3.67 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 1.38, "p75": 3.42 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_fob": 3244.79, "latest_year_fob": 21953.55, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 57290.25, "avg_annual_fob": 23608.198333333334, "median_annual_fob": 12599.17, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 6.7657845345923775, "latest_vs_first_growth": 5.7657845345923775, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.38319871182269233, "peak_multiple": 4.547144772234996, "cagr_fob": 0.6837190736298406 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [ { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "NEOGEN" ], "primary_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "members": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 }, "canonical_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 54, "supplier_market_share": 0.001113568352832309, "supplier_total_fob": 128996.25, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 9454.707018611183, "competitive_index": 3.85, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb" ], "aliases": [ "NEOGEN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.8851744934086809, "total_fob": 125384.25, "label": "NEOGEN", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, { "id": "group-2", "tokens": [ "GLOMARKET" ], "primary_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "members": [ { "entity_id": "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196", "name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "fob": 10293.55, "pct": 0.07266931777018985, "qty": 800000, "shipment_count": 1, "avg_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.4688786096098353 }, "canonical_name": "GLOMARKET LIMITED", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 143, "supplier_market_share": 0.00008885972668427968, "supplier_total_fob": 10293.55, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 3.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196" ], "aliases": [ "GLOMARKET LIMITED" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.07266931777018985, "total_fob": 10293.55, "label": "GLOMARKET", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, { "id": "group-3", "tokens": [ "IMPORTACIONES", "UNIVERSO", "ZONA", "LIBRE" ], "primary_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "members": [ { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 3244.79, "pct": 0.022907225943191063, "qty": 1308, "shipment_count": 2, "avg_unit_price": 2.4807262996941897, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2010, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "canonical_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 47, "supplier_market_share": 0.0017014956684061535, "supplier_total_fob": 197102.00999999998, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 6406.982175335552, "competitive_index": 4.4, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd" ], "aliases": [ "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.022907225943191063, "total_fob": 3244.79, "label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, { "id": "group-4", "tokens": [ "SYRVET" ], "primary_name": "SYRVET INC", "members": [ { "entity_id": "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8", "name": "SYRVET INC", "fob": 2726.6, "pct": 0.019248962877938095, "qty": 950, "shipment_count": 3, "avg_unit_price": 2.8701052631578947, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2011, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2012, "supplier_active_years": 2, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -1, "supplier_status": "exited", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0 }, "canonical_name": "SYRVET INC", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 136, "supplier_market_share": 0.000118937046357431, "supplier_total_fob": 13777.72, "supplier_importer_count": 2, "customer_hhi": 6825.297661823941, "competitive_index": 2.87, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8" ], "aliases": [ "SYRVET INC" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.019248962877938095, "total_fob": 2726.6, "label": "SYRVET", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 } ], "dominant_group": { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "NEOGEN" ], "primary_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "members": [ { "entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "fob": 125384.25, "pct": 0.8851744934086809, "qty": 2931205, "shipment_count": 23, "avg_unit_price": 0.042775667344999754, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2013, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 3, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4688786096098353, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5311213903901647 }, "canonical_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 54, "supplier_market_share": 0.001113568352832309, "supplier_total_fob": 128996.25, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 9454.707018611183, "competitive_index": 3.85, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb" ], "aliases": [ "NEOGEN CORPORATION" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.8851744934086809, "total_fob": 125384.25, "label": "NEOGEN", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 4, "total_group_count": 4, "summary_text": "表面上有 4 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 4 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 4 个，占 100.0%。 其中 NEOGEN 占比最高，约 88.5%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "NEOGEN", "group_share": 0.8851744934086809, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false }, "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196": { "group_id": "group-2", "group_label": "GLOMARKET", "group_share": 0.07266931777018985, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false }, "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd": { "group_id": "group-3", "group_label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "group_share": 0.022907225943191063, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false }, "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8": { "group_id": "group-4", "group_label": "SYRVET", "group_share": 0.019248962877938095, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 2, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.04215618882112916, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 5971.389999999999, "new_supplier_count": 1, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 370.3517505682186, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "NEOGEN CORPORATION", "supplier_entity_id": "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb", "total_share": 0.8851744934086809, "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "份额回落中", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.8851744934086809, "account_shipment_count": 23, "account_annualized_shipments": 7.67, "account_avg_gap_days": 29.59, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 0, "latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "importer_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2013, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0.5311213903901647, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4688786096098353, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4688786096098353, "first_active_year": 2013, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 0.5311213903901647, "last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "active_year_count": 3, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2013, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0.5311213903901647, "delta": -0.4688786096098353 }, "group_label": "NEOGEN", "group_share": 0.8851744934086809, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 份额回落中 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这个主供的份额在往下掉，客户大概率在重新分货。 2013年 100% → 2015年 53%（-47pp）。", "attack_focus": "重点看它掉下来的到底是哪类规格、交期，还是哪个价格带，这是最现实的切口。", "entry_angle": "先切次核心品类、交付波动的环节，或者比较容易被拆开的那一小块。", "entry_difficulty": "中高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 3 年 · 累计份额 89% · 末年份额在回落", "share_window_fob_estimate": 11069.379209926565 }, "top_supplier_pct": 0.8851744934086809, "supplier_count": 4, "top_supplier_sample_count": 4, "external_group_count": 4, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "low", "label": "低渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "no_dominant", "raw_key": "no_dominant", "label": "无明显主供", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2013, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0.5311213903901647, "delta": -0.4688786096098353 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "pulse_reverted", "label": "脉冲后回归" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "concentrated", "label": "中度集中" }, "scenario_key": "low_penetration_growth", "scenario_label": "低渗透 · 培育型", "opportunity_type": "新渗透型", "action_level": "先研究", "entry_position": "打试单 / 二供入口", "advantage_focus": "扩大试单 + 稳定交付", "resource_boundary": "先把小单验证做稳，不要一上来谈全面替代。", "matrix_mode": "low_penetration", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0.07266931777018985, "annualized_fob": 23608.198333333334, "active_years": 6, "shipment_count": 29, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 7897.099770987886, "top_supplier_pct": 0.8851744934086809, "top1_first_year_share": 0, "top1_first_active_year": 2013, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2013, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": 0.5311213903901647, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4688786096098353, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4688786096098353, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.38319871182269233, "latest_vs_first_growth": 5.7657845345923775, "cagr_fob": 0.6837190736298406, "exited_supplier_count": 2, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.04215618882112916, "new_supplier_count": 1, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 370.3517505682186, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 57290.25, "latest_year_fob": 21953.55 }, "trigger_summary": [ "低渗透（中国采购 7%）", "主供回落 · 2013年 100% → 2015年 53%（-47pp）", "脉冲后回归 · 末年/峰值 38%", "高度集中（HHI 7,897 · Top1 89%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "6c8e5458-bb4a-4bae-acaa-de0674a989cb": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "份额回落中", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.8851744934086809, "account_shipment_count": 23, "account_annualized_shipments": 7.67, "account_avg_gap_days": 29.59, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 0, "latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "importer_latest_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2013, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0.5311213903901647, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4688786096098353, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4688786096098353, "first_active_year": 2013, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 0.5311213903901647, "last_active_year_share": 0.5311213903901647, "active_year_count": 3, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2013, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0.5311213903901647, "delta": -0.4688786096098353 }, "group_label": "NEOGEN", "group_share": 0.8851744934086809, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 份额回落中 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这个主供的份额在往下掉，客户大概率在重新分货。 2013年 100% → 2015年 53%（-47pp）。", "attack_focus": "重点看它掉下来的到底是哪类规格、交期，还是哪个价格带，这是最现实的切口。", "entry_angle": "先切次核心品类、交付波动的环节，或者比较容易被拆开的那一小块。", "entry_difficulty": "中高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 3 年 · 累计份额 89% · 末年份额在回落" }, "4e2a1e98-8cda-4704-a8a5-2e25d9710196": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "补充型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "试单观察中", "price_role": "低价带", "sample_share": 0.07266931777018985, "account_shipment_count": 1, "account_annualized_shipments": 1, "account_avg_gap_days": null, "account_rhythm_label": "样本不足", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 0, "latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "importer_latest_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "peak_share": 0.4688786096098353, "peak_share_year": 2015, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0.4688786096098353, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2015, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 0.4688786096098353, "last_active_share": 0.4688786096098353, "last_active_year_share": 0.4688786096098353, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": true, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2015, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 0.4688786096098353, "to_share": 0.4688786096098353, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "GLOMARKET", "group_share": 0.07266931777018985, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "补充型 · 试单观察中 · 低价带", "competitive_signal": "这更像试单或探索关系，可以拿来判断客户到底在试什么。 到 2015 年才进入样本。", "attack_focus": "重点看这种小份额是在试新规格、临时补货，还是在验证替代供应。", "entry_angle": "如果这是中国试单，先判断你能不能在同类试单场景里做得更稳。", "entry_difficulty": "低", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 7%" }, "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "补充型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 0.022907225943191063, "account_shipment_count": 2, "account_annualized_shipments": 2, "account_avg_gap_days": null, "account_rhythm_label": "一次性/低频采购", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2010, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "group_share": 0.022907225943191063, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "补充型 · 已停止采购", "competitive_signal": "这家历史供应已经退场了，把它当成“空出来份额”的线索来看。 2010年 100% → 2015年 0%（-100pp）；2010 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "重点追踪它原来那部分份额后来被谁接走了。", "entry_angle": "别再盯这家历史供应本身，顺着后面接盘的供应商去找切口。", "entry_difficulty": "中低", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 2% · 已退出当前样本" }, "d5ec8d8e-cf53-44d9-9aa3-8a214a2a5ff8": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "边缘/试单型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 0.019248962877938095, "account_shipment_count": 3, "account_annualized_shipments": 1.5, "account_avg_gap_days": 276.5, "account_rhythm_label": "计划性补货", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 0, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2011, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2011, "last_active_year": 2012, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 2, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2011, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "SYRVET", "group_share": 0.019248962877938095, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "边缘/试单型 · 已停止采购", "competitive_signal": "这家历史供应已经退场了，把它当成“空出来份额”的线索来看。 2011年 100% → 2015年 0%（-100pp）；2012 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "重点追踪它原来那部分份额后来被谁接走了。", "entry_angle": "别再盯这家历史供应本身，顺着后面接盘的供应商去找切口。", "entry_difficulty": "中低", "difficulty_reason": "供货 2 年 · 累计份额 2% · 已退出当前样本" } }, "decision_summary": null }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2014, "last_year": 2015, "gap_years": 11, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2015年（相较2014年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2015 年，距今已 11 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 32, "band_count": 3, "range_multiple": 1457.4719120225773, "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $0.01–$2.02（FOB 占比 71%）；中价带 $2.10–$2.88（FOB 占比 15%）；高价带 $2.90–$18.75（FOB 占比 14%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 11, "fob_total_usd": 103768.91, "fob_share": 0.7114925875296946, "min_unit_price": 0.0128669375, "max_unit_price": 2.018421052631579, "avg_unit_price": 0.9044087509411153, "median_unit_price": 0.02099950406286957 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 11, "fob_total_usd": 21368.33, "fob_share": 0.14651217212254034, "min_unit_price": 2.0998249999999996, "max_unit_price": 2.87643, "avg_unit_price": 2.656915383165917, "median_unit_price": 2.716893203883495 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 10, "fob_total_usd": 20709.55, "fob_share": 0.1419952403477649, "min_unit_price": 2.902727272727273, "max_unit_price": 18.7532, "avg_unit_price": 9.189989980232458, "median_unit_price": 3.3873317193441066 } ] }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "total_fob", "market_share", "priority_score", "annual_trend", "cagr", "latest_vs_peak", "supplier_structure", "top_supplier_trajectory", "china_penetration", "scenario", "procurement_rhythm", "port_distribution", "payment_distribution", "market_benchmark" ], "degraded": [ "price_analysis", "group_structure" ], "skipped": [] } }