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LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "all_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 41748.11, "pct": 1, "qty": 40450, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 1.0320917181705809, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 4, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1 }, "canonical_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 47, "supplier_market_share": 0.0017014956684061535, "supplier_total_fob": 197102.00999999998, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 6406.982175335552, "competitive_index": 4.4, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd" ], "aliases": [ "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "raw_supplier_count": 1, "raw_top_supplier_count": 1 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 2, "frequency_tier": "低频/项目型采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 137.43, "gap_cv": 0.83, "rhythm_label": "常规补货", "years_active": 4, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2013", "avg_annual_fob": 10437.03, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 3.67 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 2, "p75": 2 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_fob": 2857.6, "latest_year_fob": 16516.02, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 16516.02, "avg_annual_fob": 10437.0275, "median_annual_fob": 11187.244999999999, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 5.7796822508398655, "latest_vs_first_growth": 4.7796822508398655, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 1, "peak_multiple": 1.4763259408370875, "cagr_fob": 1.4027305381723671 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [ { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "IMPORTACIONES", "UNIVERSO", "ZONA", "LIBRE" ], "primary_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "members": [ { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 41748.11, "pct": 1, "qty": 40450, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 1.0320917181705809, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 4, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1 }, "canonical_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 47, "supplier_market_share": 0.0017014956684061535, "supplier_total_fob": 197102.00999999998, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 6406.982175335552, "competitive_index": 4.4, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd" ], "aliases": [ "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 1, "total_fob": 41748.11, "label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 } ], "dominant_group": { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "IMPORTACIONES", "UNIVERSO", "ZONA", "LIBRE" ], "primary_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "members": [ { "entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "fob": 41748.11, "pct": 1, "qty": 40450, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 1.0320917181705809, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2013, "supplier_active_years": 4, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 1, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 1, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "stable", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1 }, "canonical_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "country": null, "supplier_rank": 47, "supplier_market_share": 0.0017014956684061535, "supplier_total_fob": 197102.00999999998, "supplier_importer_count": 3, "customer_hhi": 6406.982175335552, "competitive_index": 4.4, "competitive_signal": "长尾补充型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd" ], "aliases": [ "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 1, "total_fob": 41748.11, "label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 1, "total_group_count": 1, "summary_text": "表面上有 1 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 1 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 1 个，占 100.0%。 其中 IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO 占比最高，约 100.0%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "group_share": 1, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO ZONA. LIBRE, S.A.", "supplier_entity_id": "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd", "total_share": 1, "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "试单观察中", "price_role": "低价带", "sample_share": 1, "account_shipment_count": 8, "account_annualized_shipments": 2, "account_avg_gap_days": 137.43, "account_rhythm_label": "常规补货", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 1, "importer_latest_year_share": 1, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2013, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 4, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "group_share": 1, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 试单观察中 · 低价带", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 4 年 · 累计份额 100%", "share_window_fob_estimate": 0 }, "top_supplier_pct": 1, "supplier_count": 1, "top_supplier_sample_count": 1, "external_group_count": 1, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "growth", "label": "持续增长" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_barrier", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 堡垒型", "opportunity_type": "低 ROI 筛选型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "快速筛选 / 无窗口即跳过", "advantage_focus": "一次性壁垒验证", "resource_boundary": "这类小体量封闭型优先快速筛掉；只有出现明确体系外窗口时，才值得继续投入。", "matrix_mode": "zero_barrier", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": "screening", "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 10437.0275, "active_years": 4, "shipment_count": 8, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 10000, "top_supplier_pct": 1, "top1_first_year_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2010, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 1, "latest_vs_first_growth": 4.7796822508398655, "cagr_fob": 1.4027305381723671, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 16516.02, "latest_year_fob": 16516.02 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 2010年 100% → 2013年 100%（+0pp）", "持续增长 · 末年/峰值 100%", "单一锁定（HHI 10,000 · Top1 100%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "dbe62d65-fa68-460c-bf40-72df0bcceadd": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "试单观察中", "price_role": "低价带", "sample_share": 1, "account_shipment_count": 8, "account_annualized_shipments": 2, "account_avg_gap_days": 137.43, "account_rhythm_label": "常规补货", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2013, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 1, "importer_latest_year_share": 1, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2013, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 4, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2013, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "IMPORTACIONES UNIVERSO", "group_share": 1, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 试单观察中 · 低价带", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 4 年 · 累计份额 100%" } }, "decision_summary": null }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2012, "last_year": 2013, "gap_years": 13, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2013年（相较2012年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2013 年，距今已 13 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 8, "band_count": 2, "range_multiple": 4.835854320027868, "summary_text": "存在 2 个明显价格带：低价带 $0.55–$2.00（FOB 占比 46%）；高价带 $2.51–$2.64（FOB 占比 54%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 4, "fob_total_usd": 19373.62, "fob_share": 0.46405981013272213, "min_unit_price": 0.5461646825396825, "max_unit_price": 2.0039270687237027, "avg_unit_price": 0.9106052790856876, "median_unit_price": 0.5461646825396825 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 4, "fob_total_usd": 22374.489999999998, "fob_share": 0.5359401898672778, "min_unit_price": 2.5057862103174604, "max_unit_price": 2.6411728395061727, "avg_unit_price": 2.563748691027337, "median_unit_price": 2.554017857142857 } ] }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "total_fob", "market_share", "priority_score", "annual_trend", "cagr", "latest_vs_peak", "supplier_structure", "top_supplier_trajectory", "china_penetration", "scenario", "procurement_rhythm", "port_distribution", "payment_distribution", "market_benchmark" ], "degraded": [ "price_analysis", "group_structure" ], "skipped": [] } }