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DAIGGER & COMPANY INC" ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.9095458920290488, "total_fob": 1039.52, "label": "DAIGGER", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 2, "total_group_count": 2, "summary_text": "表面上有 2 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 2 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 2 个，占 100.0%。 其中 DAIGGER 占比最高，约 91.0%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "be6d7e41-afeb-4be2-bd4a-46c2b9a75649": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "DAIGGER", "group_share": 0.9095458920290488, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false }, "1e105a1f-af8f-41cd-a55e-19b55e60b0bc": { "group_id": "group-2", "group_label": "ELUTRASEP", "group_share": 0.09045410797095108, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.9095458920290488, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 1039.52, "new_supplier_count": 1, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 13.972248214433773, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "A. DAIGGER & COMPANY INC", "supplier_entity_id": "be6d7e41-afeb-4be2-bd4a-46c2b9a75649", "total_share": 0.9095458920290488, "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 0.9095458920290488, "account_shipment_count": 7, "account_annualized_shipments": 2.33, "account_avg_gap_days": 124.5, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2011, "latest_year": 2014, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2011, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2011, "last_active_year": 2013, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 3, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2011, "to_year": 2014, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "DAIGGER", "group_share": 0.9095458920290488, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 已停止采购", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。 2011年 100% → 2014年 0%（-100pp）；2013 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 3 年 · 累计份额 91% · 已退出当前样本", "share_window_fob_estimate": 285.725 }, "top_supplier_pct": 0.9095458920290488, "supplier_count": 2, "top_supplier_sample_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "zero", "label": "零渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "stable", "raw_key": "stable", "label": "主供稳定", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2011, "to_year": 2014, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "shrinking", "label": "持续萎缩" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "zero_penetration_shrinking", "scenario_label": "零渗透 · 收缩型", "opportunity_type": "暂缓型", "action_level": "暂时忽略", "entry_position": "先不投入", "advantage_focus": "先确认是否还在采购", "resource_boundary": "客户既没用中国又在收缩，别急着投报价、样品和跟进节奏。", "matrix_mode": "zero_shrinking", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0, "annualized_fob": 285.725, "active_years": 4, "shipment_count": 8, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 8354.556753557386, "top_supplier_pct": 0.9095458920290488, "top1_first_year_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2011, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2011, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.18829572154527074, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.4465146161259236, "cagr_fob": 0.4919438172960824, "exited_supplier_count": 1, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0.9095458920290488, "new_supplier_count": 1, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": 13.972248214433773, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 549.03, "latest_year_fob": 103.38 }, "trigger_summary": [ "零渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供退出 · 2011年 100% → 2014年 0%（-100pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 19%", "高度集中（HHI 8,355 · Top1 91%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "be6d7e41-afeb-4be2-bd4a-46c2b9a75649": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "已停止采购", "price_role": "中价带", "sample_share": 0.9095458920290488, "account_shipment_count": 7, "account_annualized_shipments": 2.33, "account_avg_gap_days": 124.5, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2011, "latest_year": 2014, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0, "importer_latest_year_share": 0, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2011, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -1, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -1, "first_active_year": 2011, "last_active_year": 2013, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 3, "exited_in_latest_year": true, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2011, "to_year": 2014, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0, "delta": -1 }, "group_label": "DAIGGER", "group_share": 0.9095458920290488, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 已停止采购", "competitive_signal": "这个外部主供还压着大头，先把它当成主要壁垒去看。 2011年 100% → 2014年 0%（-100pp）；2013 年后没有再出现。", "attack_focus": "先判断它卡住的是品牌、注册，还是关键规格和质量门槛。", "entry_angle": "没验证出外部窗口前，别急着和主供正面对打。", "entry_difficulty": "高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 3 年 · 累计份额 91% · 已退出当前样本" }, "1e105a1f-af8f-41cd-a55e-19b55e60b0bc": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "补充型", "frequency_role": "一次性采购", "trend_role": "试单观察中", "price_role": "低价带", "sample_share": 0.09045410797095108, "account_shipment_count": 1, "account_annualized_shipments": 1, "account_avg_gap_days": null, "account_rhythm_label": "样本不足", "first_year": 2011, "latest_year": 2014, "first_year_share": 0, "latest_year_share": 1, "importer_latest_year_share": 1, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2014, "share_delta_first_to_latest": 1, "share_delta_active_to_latest": 0, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": 0, "first_active_year": 2014, "last_active_year": 2014, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 1, "last_active_year_share": 1, "active_year_count": 1, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": true, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2014, "to_year": 2014, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 1, "delta": 0 }, "group_label": "ELUTRASEP", "group_share": 0.09045410797095108, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "补充型 · 试单观察中 · 低价带", "competitive_signal": "尾部或试单关系更像窗口信号，重点不是量，而是看门有没有开。 到 2014 年才进入样本。", "attack_focus": "重点看这种小单对应的是特殊规格、临时补货，还是验证单。", "entry_angle": "先把它当成窗口信号，不要把这种小额关系误判成能立刻大规模替代。", "entry_difficulty": "中低", "difficulty_reason": "供货 1 年 · 累计份额 9%" } } }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2011, "prev_year": 2013, "last_year": 2014, "gap_years": 12, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2014年（相较2013年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2014 年，距今已 12 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 8, "band_count": 3, "range_multiple": 17.702650415941186, "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $2.07–$22.79（FOB 占比 13%）；中价带 $23.41–$36.60（FOB 占比 55%）；高价带 $36.60–$36.60（FOB 占比 32%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 3, "fob_total_usd": 148.95999999999998, "fob_share": 0.13033511243328375, "min_unit_price": 2.0676, "max_unit_price": 22.79, "avg_unit_price": 15.882533333333333, "median_unit_price": 22.79 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 3, "fob_total_usd": 627.9200000000001, "fob_share": 0.5494093971476071, "min_unit_price": 23.41, "max_unit_price": 36.602, "avg_unit_price": 27.81304761904762, "median_unit_price": 23.427142857142858 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 2, "fob_total_usd": 366.02, "fob_share": 0.3202554904191093, "min_unit_price": 36.602, "max_unit_price": 36.602, "avg_unit_price": 36.602, "median_unit_price": 36.602 } ] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 8, "date_min": "2011-09-16", "date_max": "2014-02-12", "total_fob_usd": 1142.8999999999999, "hs_codes": [ "9018312000", "9018319000" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "9018319000", "row_count": 7, "fob_total_usd": 1039.52, "fob_share": 0.909545892029049 }, { "hs_code": "9018312000", "row_count": 1, "fob_total_usd": 103.38, "fob_share": 0.09045410797095109 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 3 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-13T05:56:55.187Z" }