{ "report_type": "importer", "artifact_mode": "preview", "importer_contract_version": "v1.0", "shared_aggregator_version": "shared-aggregator-v1", "compare_mode": false, "report_mode": "enriched", "report_tier": "enriched", "generated_at": "2026-04-17T00:21:49.229Z", "project": { "id": "ecu-901831", "country": "ECU", "country_name": "厄瓜多尔", "hs_code": null, "hs_code_6": null, "product_category": null, "snapshot_date": "2015-08-31" }, "importer": { "entity_id": "c776bad9-e40c-40ea-a540-aaad8105f510", "canonical_name": "GARCOS CIA. LTDA", "tax_id": "1790708799001", "city": null, "industry_hint": null, "report_tier": "enriched" }, "market_context": { "source_release_id": null, "parent_market_release": null, "parent_market_contract_version": null, "market_rank": 5, "market_share_pct": 0.049323428162594135, "penetration_tier": "high", "growth_direction": "declining", "product_tier": null, "target_band_id": null, "buyer_access_type": "commercial", "route": "observe", "total_fob": 33340005.869999986, "importer_count": 161, "hs_code": null, "hs_code_6": null, "product_category": null, "country": "ECU", "country_name": "厄瓜多尔", "source_snapshot_date": "2015-08-31" }, "scale": { "fob_total_usd": 1652839.5400000003, "cif_total_usd": 1748867.640000001, "quantity_total": 25077940.2, "shipment_count": 155, "avg_shipment_fob": 10663.480903225809, "active_years": 6, "latest_shipment_date": "2015-08-20" }, "trend": { "fob_by_year": { "2010": 273961.88, "2011": 370383.86, "2012": 186291.99999999997, "2013": 430422.4, "2014": 156357.36, "2015": 235422.03999999995 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 13143140.2, "2014": 4760800, "2015": 7174000 }, "shipment_by_year": { "2010": 8, "2011": 8, "2012": 22, "2013": 61, "2014": 23, "2015": 33 }, "cagr_fob": -0.029867, "cagr_reliable": true, "cagr_unreliable_reason": null, "yoy_growth_fob": 0.505667, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 430422.4, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.546956, "trend_pattern": "declining", "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "annual_outliers": [ { "year": 2012, "type": "outlier_drop", "yoy_growth_fob": -0.49703 }, { "year": 2013, "type": "outlier_spike", "yoy_growth_fob": 1.310472 }, { "year": 2014, "type": "outlier_drop", "yoy_growth_fob": -0.636735 }, { "year": 2015, "type": "outlier_spike", "yoy_growth_fob": 0.505667 } ] }, "penetration": { "china_penetration": 1, "penetration_tier": "high", "china_supplier_count": 3, "china_fob_total": 1652839.5399999998, "non_china_fob_total": 4.656612873077393e-10, "penetration_direction": "flat" }, "supplier_structure": { "supplier_count": 3, "hhi": 8706.105743809678, "top1_supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "top1_cumulative_share": 0.931681, "new_supplier_count": 2, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_yearly_trend": [ { "supplier_entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "origin_country": "CN", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_by_year": { "2010": 273961.88, "2011": 370383.86, "2012": 186292, "2013": 430422.4, "2014": 156357.36, "2015": 122502.04 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 } }, { "supplier_entity_id": null, "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD.", "origin_country": "China", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 74827.04 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.31784211877528556 } }, { "supplier_entity_id": null, "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO. LTD", "origin_country": "China", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 38092.96 }, "share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.16180711032832784 } } ], "sourcing_pattern": "china_heavy", "suppliers": [ { "supplier_entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "origin_country": "CN", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_total_usd": 1539919.5399999998, "share_pct": 0.9316812084493087, "active_years": 6 }, { "supplier_entity_id": null, "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD.", "origin_country": "China", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_total_usd": 74827.04000000001, "share_pct": 0.045271811442749, "active_years": 1 }, { "supplier_entity_id": null, "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO. LTD", "origin_country": "China", "origin_country_display_name_zh": "中国", "fob_total_usd": 38092.96, "share_pct": 0.023046980107941994, "active_years": 1 } ] }, "group_structure": { "capability": "full", "detection_method": "nit_match + web_corporate_structure", "affiliated_group_share": 0, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "external_group_count": 2, "uncertain_group_pairs": [] }, "pricing": { "render_status": "rendered", "avg_unit_price_usd": 0.413197, "median_unit_price_usd": 0.0299, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.0286, "max_unit_price_usd": 44.2, "price_range_multiple": 1545.454545, "price_band_count": 3, "market_price_benchmark": { "market_avg_unit_price_usd": 0.101914, "market_median_unit_price_usd": 0.115, "position": "below_market", "position_basis": "median_vs_median" } }, "logistics": { "render_status": "rendered", "transport_mode_primary": "MARITIMO", "port_distribution": [ { "name": "UNKNOWN", "count": 117, "share_pct": 0.7548387096774194 }, { "name": "GUAYAQUIL MARITIMO", "count": 28, "share_pct": 0.18064516129032257 }, { "name": "Guayaquil", "count": 9, "share_pct": 0.05806451612903226 }, { "name": "GQUIL-MARITIMO", "count": 1, "share_pct": 0.0064516129032258064 } ], "payment_distribution": [ { "name": "UNKNOWN", "count": 155, "share_pct": 1 } ], "cif_fob_ratio": 1.058099, "fob_by_month": { "1": 6599.2733333333335, "2": 12071.473333333333, "3": 32859.293333333335, "4": 17408.25, "5": 38605.71333333334, "6": 24753.589999999997, "7": 13003.26, "8": 31635.013333333332, "9": 43088.60666666667, "10": 18295.74, "11": 23591.98, "12": 13561.063333333334 }, "frequency_tier": "steady", "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购" }, "scenario": { "route": "observe", "route_source": "market_context", "route_override": null, "route_override_reason": null, "priority_level": "P2", "entry_position": "monitor_only", "barrier_type": "brand_lock", "route_reason_codes": [ "high_china_penetration", "active_buyer", "observe_route" ] }, "scoring": { "priority_score": 5.1, "priority_score_version": "importer_priority_v1", "score_breakdown": { "volume_score": 10, "window_score": 5.5, "barrier_score": 1.5, "trend_score": 4.4, "retention_score": 0 } }, "traceability": { "shared_aggregator_version": "shared-aggregator-v1", "shared_aggregator_release": null, "shared_aggregator_checksum": { "method": "anchor_values", "anchors": { "fob_total_usd": 1652839.54, "supplier_count": 3, "china_penetration": 1, "market_rank": 5 } }, "checksum_summary": { "fob_total_usd": 1652839.54, "supplier_fob_sum": 1652839.54, "china_penetration": 1 }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "scale", "trend", "penetration", "supplier_structure", "group_structure", "pricing", "logistics", "scenario", "scoring" ], "degraded": [], "skipped": [] } }, "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 1652839.5400000003, "cif_total_usd": 1748867.640000001, "qty_total": 25077940.2, "shipment_count": 155, "avg_shipment_fob": 10663.480903225809, "fob_last_12m": 235422.03999999995, "fob_last_24m": 586154.6999999997, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 273961.88, "2011": 370383.86, "2012": 186291.99999999997, "2013": 430422.4, "2014": 156357.36, "2015": 235422.03999999995 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 13143140.2, "2014": 4760800, "2015": 7174000 }, "yoy_growth_fob": 0.5056665065207034, "yoy_growth_qty": 0.5068895983868258, "cagr_fob": -0.02986673552266539, "cagr_qty": null, "trend_direction": "declining", "trend_direction_raw": "stable", "peak_year": "2013", "peak_fob": 430422.4, "momentum_score": 1.9185969164144536, "fob_annual_cv": 0.35309153645753494, "procurement_stability": "volatile", "supplier_count": 3, "china_supplier_count": 3, "china_pct_fob": 0.9999999999999997, "top_supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "top_supplier_pct": 0.9316812084493087, "hhi": 8706.105743809678, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": 0.4131974114152349, "median_unit_price_usd": 0.0299, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.028599999999999997, "max_unit_price_usd": 44.2, "price_range_multiple": 1545.4545454545457, "cif_fob_ratio": 1.0580988642127964, "primary_port": "UNKNOWN", "port_distribution_json": { "Guayaquil": 9, "GQUIL-MARITIMO": 1, "GUAYAQUIL MARITIMO": 28, "UNKNOWN": 117 }, "transport_mode_primary": "MARITIMO", "transport_distribution_json": { "MARITIMO": 155 }, "payment_method_primary": "UNKNOWN", "payment_distribution_json": { "UNKNOWN": 155 }, "fob_by_month_json": { "1": 6599.2733333333335, "2": 12071.473333333333, "3": 32859.293333333335, "4": 17408.25, "5": 38605.71333333334, "6": 24753.589999999997, "7": 13003.26, "8": 31635.013333333332, "9": 43088.60666666667, "10": 18295.74, "11": 23591.98, "12": 13561.063333333334 }, "peak_months": [ 9, 5, 3 ], "low_months": [ 7, 2, 1 ], "seasonality_score": 0.4793575881228963, "next_peak_month": 9, "priority_score": 7.5, "active_years": 6, "annualized_fob": 275473.2566666667, "first_year_fob": 273961.88, "latest_year_fob": 235422.03999999995, "median_yearly_fob": 254691.95999999996, "peak_multiple": 1.6899724671324532, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.5469558275777467, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.8593240782257734, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.1406759217742266, "cagr_reliable": true, "cagr_unreliable_reason": null, "latest_annualization_factor": 1.5, "latest_year_months": 8, "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "china_fob": 1652839.5399999998, "china_penetration": 0.9999999999999997, "penetration_tier": "high", "penetration_tier_label": "高渗透", "top1_supplier_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "top1_supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "top1_is_non_china_lead": false, "top1_cumulative_share": 0.9316812084493087, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_year_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "top1_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "top1_peak_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year": 2010, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 273961.88, "top1_latest_year_fob": 122502.04000000001, "top1_last_active_year_fob": 122502.04000000001, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share": 0, "new_supplier_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "single_locked", "barrier_tier_label": "单一锁定", "price_band_count": 3, "main_price_band_share": 0.3639740024894131, "price_band_breakdown": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 299260.07999999996, "fob_share": 0.3639740024894131, "min_unit_price": 0.028599999999999997, "max_unit_price": 0.029300000000000003, "avg_unit_price": 0.02893333333333336, "median_unit_price": 0.029 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 283294.1, "fob_share": 0.34455543639043357, "min_unit_price": 0.0293, "max_unit_price": 0.0395, "avg_unit_price": 0.0301973624508316, "median_unit_price": 0.0299 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 239647.61999999997, "fob_share": 0.2914705611201532, "min_unit_price": 0.0395, "max_unit_price": 44.2, "avg_unit_price": 1.1804615384615385, "median_unit_price": 0.0446 } ], "supplier_price_gap": 2.2253211230006276, "scenario_id": "limited_window", "scenario_name": "壁垒松动·增量有限", "supplier_motion": "declining", "supplier_motion_label": "主供回落", "supplier_motion_raw": "declining", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "pulse_reverted", "trend_label_name": "脉冲后回归", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD.", "fob": 74827.04000000001, "pct": 0.045271811442749, "qty": 2324000, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 0.03219752151462995, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.31784211877528556 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO. LTD", "fob": 38092.96, "pct": 0.023046980107941994, "qty": 1187200, "shipment_count": 6, "avg_unit_price": 0.03208638814016172, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.16180711032832784 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 33510232.39, "annualized_fob_p25": 752.54, "annualized_fob_p50": 3616.46, "annualized_fob_p75": 27509.39000000001, "annualized_fob_p90": 81801.09799999997, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 10, "window_score": 5.5, "barrier_score": 1.5, "trend_score": 4.4, "barrier_score_base": 2.5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "Top1 过高", "delta": -1 } ], "barrier_score_reason": "single_locked 基础分 2.5，Top1 过高-1.0", "trend_score_base": 4, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "末年仍保留部分底盘", "delta": 0.4 } ], "trend_score_reason": "pulse_reverted 基础分 4.0，末年仍保留部分底盘+0.4", "priority_score_v2": 5.1, "priority_weighted_raw": 5.83, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "先研究", "rank": 5, "market_share": 0.049323428162594135, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD.", "fob": 74827.04000000001, "pct": 0.045271811442749, "qty": 2324000, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 0.03219752151462995, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.31784211877528556 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO. LTD", "fob": 38092.96, "pct": 0.023046980107941994, "qty": 1187200, "shipment_count": 6, "avg_unit_price": 0.03208638814016172, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.16180711032832784 } } ], "active_year_count": 6, "name": "GARCOS CIA. LTDA", "tax_id": "1790708799001" }, "facts_pack": { "importer": { "entity_id": "c776bad9-e40c-40ea-a540-aaad8105f510", "canonical_name": "GARCOS CIA. LTDA", "country": null, "rank": 5, "market_share": 0.049323428162594135, "tax_id": "1790708799001", "metrics": { "fob_total_usd": 1652839.5400000003, "cif_total_usd": 1748867.640000001, "qty_total": 25077940.2, "shipment_count": 155, "avg_shipment_fob": 10663.480903225809, "fob_last_12m": 235422.03999999995, "fob_last_24m": 586154.6999999997, "fob_by_year": { "2010": 273961.88, "2011": 370383.86, "2012": 186291.99999999997, "2013": 430422.4, "2014": 156357.36, "2015": 235422.03999999995 }, "qty_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 13143140.2, "2014": 4760800, "2015": 7174000 }, "yoy_growth_fob": 0.5056665065207034, "yoy_growth_qty": 0.5068895983868258, "cagr_fob": -0.02986673552266539, "cagr_qty": null, "trend_direction": "declining", "trend_direction_raw": "stable", "peak_year": "2013", "peak_fob": 430422.4, "momentum_score": 1.9185969164144536, "fob_annual_cv": 0.35309153645753494, "procurement_stability": "volatile", "supplier_count": 3, "china_supplier_count": 3, "china_pct_fob": 0.9999999999999997, "top_supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "top_supplier_pct": 0.9316812084493087, "hhi": 8706.105743809678, "supplier_diversity": "concentrated", "avg_unit_price_usd": 0.4131974114152349, "median_unit_price_usd": 0.0299, "min_unit_price_usd": 0.028599999999999997, "max_unit_price_usd": 44.2, "price_range_multiple": 1545.4545454545457, "cif_fob_ratio": 1.0580988642127964, "primary_port": "UNKNOWN", "port_distribution_json": { "Guayaquil": 9, "GQUIL-MARITIMO": 1, "GUAYAQUIL MARITIMO": 28, "UNKNOWN": 117 }, "transport_mode_primary": "MARITIMO", "transport_distribution_json": { "MARITIMO": 155 }, "payment_method_primary": "UNKNOWN", "payment_distribution_json": { "UNKNOWN": 155 }, "fob_by_month_json": { "1": 6599.2733333333335, "2": 12071.473333333333, "3": 32859.293333333335, "4": 17408.25, "5": 38605.71333333334, "6": 24753.589999999997, "7": 13003.26, "8": 31635.013333333332, "9": 43088.60666666667, "10": 18295.74, "11": 23591.98, "12": 13561.063333333334 }, "peak_months": [ 9, 5, 3 ], "low_months": [ 7, 2, 1 ], "seasonality_score": 0.4793575881228963, "next_peak_month": 9, "priority_score": 7.5, "active_years": 6, "annualized_fob": 275473.2566666667, "first_year_fob": 273961.88, "latest_year_fob": 235422.03999999995, "median_yearly_fob": 254691.95999999996, "peak_multiple": 1.6899724671324532, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.5469558275777467, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.8593240782257734, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.1406759217742266, "cagr_reliable": true, "cagr_unreliable_reason": null, "latest_annualization_factor": 1.5, "latest_year_months": 8, "resolved_trend_key": "declining", "resolved_trend_label": "下行", "china_fob": 1652839.5399999998, "china_penetration": 0.9999999999999997, "penetration_tier": "high", "penetration_tier_label": "高渗透", "top1_supplier_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "top1_supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "top1_is_non_china_lead": false, "top1_cumulative_share": 0.9316812084493087, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_year_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "top1_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "top1_peak_year_share": 1, "top1_peak_year": 2010, "top1_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_delta_first_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_first_active_year_fob": 273961.88, "top1_latest_year_fob": 122502.04000000001, "top1_last_active_year_fob": 122502.04000000001, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share": 0, "new_supplier_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0, "uncertain_group_pairs": 0, "uncertain_group_pair_examples": [], "barrier_tier": "single_locked", "barrier_tier_label": "单一锁定", "price_band_count": 3, "main_price_band_share": 0.3639740024894131, "price_band_breakdown": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 299260.07999999996, "fob_share": 0.3639740024894131, "min_unit_price": 0.028599999999999997, "max_unit_price": 0.029300000000000003, "avg_unit_price": 0.02893333333333336, "median_unit_price": 0.029 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 283294.1, "fob_share": 0.34455543639043357, "min_unit_price": 0.0293, "max_unit_price": 0.0395, "avg_unit_price": 0.0301973624508316, "median_unit_price": 0.0299 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 239647.61999999997, "fob_share": 0.2914705611201532, "min_unit_price": 0.0395, "max_unit_price": 44.2, "avg_unit_price": 1.1804615384615385, "median_unit_price": 0.0446 } ], "supplier_price_gap": 2.2253211230006276, "scenario_id": "limited_window", "scenario_name": "壁垒松动·增量有限", "supplier_motion": "declining", "supplier_motion_label": "主供回落", "supplier_motion_raw": "declining", "supplier_motion_override": false, "trend_label": "pulse_reverted", "trend_label_name": "脉冲后回归", "suppliers_list_json": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD.", "fob": 74827.04000000001, "pct": 0.045271811442749, "qty": 2324000, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 0.03219752151462995, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.31784211877528556 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO. LTD", "fob": 38092.96, "pct": 0.023046980107941994, "qty": 1187200, "shipment_count": 6, "avg_unit_price": 0.03208638814016172, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.16180711032832784 } } ], "group_rollup_summary": { "total_group_count": 2, "external_group_count": 2, "affiliated_group_count": 0, "affiliated_group_share": 0 }, "market_total_fob": 33510232.39, "annualized_fob_p25": 752.54, "annualized_fob_p50": 3616.46, "annualized_fob_p75": 27509.39000000001, "annualized_fob_p90": 81801.09799999997, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 10, "window_score": 5.5, "barrier_score": 1.5, "trend_score": 4.4, "barrier_score_base": 2.5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "Top1 过高", "delta": -1 } ], "barrier_score_reason": "single_locked 基础分 2.5，Top1 过高-1.0", "trend_score_base": 4, "trend_score_adjustments": [ { "label": "末年仍保留部分底盘", "delta": 0.4 } ], "trend_score_reason": "pulse_reverted 基础分 4.0，末年仍保留部分底盘+0.4", "priority_score_v2": 5.1, "priority_weighted_raw": 5.83, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "先研究", "rank": 5, "market_share": 0.049323428162594135, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO.,LTD.", "fob": 74827.04000000001, "pct": 0.045271811442749, "qty": 2324000, "shipment_count": 8, "avg_unit_price": 0.03219752151462995, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.31784211877528556, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.31784211877528556 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "XIAMEN C & D ENTERPRISE CO. LTD", "fob": 38092.96, "pct": 0.023046980107941994, "qty": 1187200, "shipment_count": 6, "avg_unit_price": 0.03208638814016172, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2015, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 1, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.16180711032832784, "supplier_delta": 0, "supplier_status": "new_entrant", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0, "2011": 0, "2012": 0, "2013": 0, "2014": 0, "2015": 0.16180711032832784 } } ], "active_year_count": 6, "name": "GARCOS CIA. LTDA", "tax_id": "1790708799001" } }, "market": { "total_fob": 33340005.869999986, "importer_count": 161, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": 0.101914414110796, "market_median_unit_price_usd": 0.115, "hs_code": null, "hs_code_6": null, "product_category": null, "hs_description": null, "hs_description_zh": null, "hs_description_es": null, "total_records": 3432, "country": "厄瓜多尔", "country_code": "ECU", "snapshot_date": "2015-08-31", "status": "published" }, "top_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 }, "canonical_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "country": "CN", "supplier_rank": 4, "supplier_market_share": 0.04595371115538837, "supplier_total_fob": 1539919.5399999998, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 4.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46" ], "aliases": [ "XIAMEN C AND D INC." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "all_suppliers": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 }, "canonical_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "country": "CN", "supplier_rank": 4, "supplier_market_share": 0.04595371115538837, "supplier_total_fob": 1539919.5399999998, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 4.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46" ], "aliases": [ "XIAMEN C AND D INC." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "raw_supplier_count": 3, "raw_top_supplier_count": 1 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 25.83, "frequency_tier": "高频采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 12.97, "gap_cv": 3.12, "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "years_active": 6, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2015", "avg_annual_fob": 275473.26, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 4 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 23.5, "p75": 23.5 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_fob": 273961.88, "latest_year_fob": 235422.03999999995, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 430422.4, "avg_annual_fob": 275473.2566666667, "median_annual_fob": 254691.95999999996, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.8593240782257734, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.1406759217742266, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.5469558275777467, "peak_multiple": 1.6899724671324532, "cagr_fob": -0.02986673552266539 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [ { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "XIAMEN" ], "primary_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "members": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 }, "canonical_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "country": "CN", "supplier_rank": 4, "supplier_market_share": 0.04595371115538837, "supplier_total_fob": 1539919.5399999998, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 4.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46" ], "aliases": [ "XIAMEN C AND D INC." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.9316812084493087, "total_fob": 1539919.5399999998, "label": "XIAMEN", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 } ], "dominant_group": { "id": "group-1", "tokens": [ "XIAMEN" ], "primary_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "members": [ { "entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "fob": 1539919.5399999998, "pct": 0.9316812084493087, "qty": 21566740.2, "shipment_count": 141, "avg_unit_price": 0.0714025172890987, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 1, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "supplier_peak_year_share": 1, "supplier_delta": -0.4796492291036131, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 1, "2011": 1, "2012": 1, "2013": 1, "2014": 1, "2015": 0.5203507708963869 }, "canonical_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "country": "CN", "supplier_rank": 4, "supplier_market_share": 0.04595371115538837, "supplier_total_fob": 1539919.5399999998, "supplier_importer_count": 1, "customer_hhi": 10000, "competitive_index": 4.96, "competitive_signal": "高度绑定型供应商", "entity_ids": [ "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46" ], "aliases": [ "XIAMEN C AND D INC." ], "variant_count": 1 } ], "total_share": 0.9316812084493087, "total_fob": 1539919.5399999998, "label": "XIAMEN", "affiliated_to_importer": false, "member_count": 1 }, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 1, "total_group_count": 1, "summary_text": "表面上有 1 家 supplier 参与该账户，但按集团归集后可视为 1 个供应集团。 真正独立的外部供应集团约 1 个，占 93.2%。 其中 XIAMEN 占比最高，约 93.2%。", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": { "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46": { "group_id": "group-1", "group_label": "XIAMEN", "group_share": 0.9316812084493087, "group_member_count": 1, "affiliated_to_importer": false } } }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": { "supplier_name": "XIAMEN C AND D INC.", "supplier_entity_id": "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46", "total_share": 0.9316812084493087, "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "份额回落中", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.9316812084493087, "account_shipment_count": 141, "account_annualized_shipments": 23.5, "account_avg_gap_days": 13.23, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "importer_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 0.5203507708963869, "last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "active_year_count": 6, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0.5203507708963869, "delta": -0.4796492291036131 }, "group_label": "XIAMEN", "group_share": 0.9316812084493087, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 份额回落中 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这个主供的份额在往下掉，客户大概率在重新分货。 2010年 100% → 2015年 52%（-48pp）。", "attack_focus": "重点看它掉下来的到底是哪类规格、交期，还是哪个价格带，这是最现实的切口。", "entry_angle": "先切次核心品类、交付波动的环节，或者比较容易被拆开的那一小块。", "entry_difficulty": "中高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 6 年 · 累计份额 93% · 末年份额在回落", "share_window_fob_estimate": 132130.53519882844 }, "top_supplier_pct": 0.9316812084493087, "supplier_count": 3, "top_supplier_sample_count": 1, "external_group_count": 1, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "high", "label": "高渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "declining", "raw_key": "declining", "label": "主供回落", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0.5203507708963869, "delta": -0.4796492291036131 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "pulse_reverted", "label": "脉冲后回归" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "single_locked", "label": "单一锁定" }, "scenario_key": "limited_window", "scenario_label": "壁垒松动 · 增量有限", "opportunity_type": "有限窗口型", "action_level": "先研究", "entry_position": "小切口验证 / 流失份额", "advantage_focus": "小切口验证 + 流失份额", "resource_boundary": "窗口存在，但客户自己的增量有限，不宜重仓。", "matrix_mode": "limited_window", "size_tier": "Tier B", "output_depth": "compact", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0.9999999999999997, "annualized_fob": 275473.2566666667, "active_years": 6, "shipment_count": 155, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 8706.105743809678, "top_supplier_pct": 0.9316812084493087, "top1_first_year_share": 1, "top1_first_active_year": 2010, "top1_first_active_share": 1, "top1_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "top1_peak_share": 1, "top1_peak_share_year": 2010, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.5469558275777467, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.1406759217742266, "cagr_fob": -0.02986673552266539, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2013, "peak_fob": 430422.4, "latest_year_fob": 235422.03999999995 }, "trigger_summary": [ "高渗透（中国采购 100%）", "主供回落 · 2010年 100% → 2015年 52%（-48pp）", "脉冲后回归 · 末年/峰值 55%", "高度集中（HHI 8,706 · Top1 93%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": { "70068fad-cd79-4f50-a788-15014c3c1a46": { "supplier_affiliation": "独立供应方", "share_role": "主导型", "frequency_role": "高频采购", "trend_role": "份额回落中", "price_role": "高价带", "sample_share": 0.9316812084493087, "account_shipment_count": 141, "account_annualized_shipments": 23.5, "account_avg_gap_days": 13.23, "account_rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_share": 1, "latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "importer_latest_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "peak_share": 1, "peak_share_year": 2010, "share_delta_first_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "share_delta_active_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "share_delta_peak_to_latest": -0.4796492291036131, "first_active_year": 2010, "last_active_year": 2015, "first_active_share": 1, "last_active_share": 0.5203507708963869, "last_active_year_share": 0.5203507708963869, "active_year_count": 6, "exited_in_latest_year": false, "new_entrant_in_latest_year": false, "share_change_reference": { "from_year": 2010, "to_year": 2015, "from_share": 1, "to_share": 0.5203507708963869, "delta": -0.4796492291036131 }, "group_label": "XIAMEN", "group_share": 0.9316812084493087, "group_member_count": 1, "group_affiliated_to_importer": false, "relationship_summary": "主导型 · 份额回落中 · 高价带", "competitive_signal": "这个主供的份额在往下掉，客户大概率在重新分货。 2010年 100% → 2015年 52%（-48pp）。", "attack_focus": "重点看它掉下来的到底是哪类规格、交期，还是哪个价格带，这是最现实的切口。", "entry_angle": "先切次核心品类、交付波动的环节，或者比较容易被拆开的那一小块。", "entry_difficulty": "中高", "difficulty_reason": "供货 6 年 · 累计份额 93% · 末年份额在回落" } }, "decision_summary": null }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2014, "last_year": 2015, "gap_years": 11, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2015年（相较2014年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2015 年，距今已 11 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 117, "band_count": 3, "range_multiple": 1545.4545454545457, "summary_text": "存在 3 个明显价格带：低价带 $0.03–$0.03（FOB 占比 39%）；中价带 $0.03–$0.04（FOB 占比 34%）；高价带 $0.04–$44.20（FOB 占比 28%）。", "bands": [ { "label": "低价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 318246.4799999999, "fob_share": 0.38706614361583724, "min_unit_price": 0.028599999999999997, "max_unit_price": 0.0293, "avg_unit_price": 0.02893333333333336, "median_unit_price": 0.029 }, { "label": "中价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 277816.69999999995, "fob_share": 0.33789356822132954, "min_unit_price": 0.0293, "max_unit_price": 0.0395, "avg_unit_price": 0.0301973624508316, "median_unit_price": 0.0299 }, { "label": "高价带", "trade_count": 39, "fob_total_usd": 226138.62, "fob_share": 0.275040288162833, "min_unit_price": 0.0395, "max_unit_price": 44.2, "avg_unit_price": 1.1804615384615385, "median_unit_price": 0.0446 } ] }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "total_fob", "market_share", "priority_score", "annual_trend", "cagr", "latest_vs_peak", "supplier_structure", "top_supplier_trajectory", "china_penetration", "scenario", "procurement_rhythm", "port_distribution", "market_benchmark" ], "degraded": [ "price_analysis", "group_structure" ], "skipped": [ "payment_distribution" ] } }