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30874412.6, "annualized_fob_p25": 180.7, "annualized_fob_p50": 1263.255, "annualized_fob_p75": 9408.710000000001, "annualized_fob_p90": 71166.03400000001, "data_freshness": "historical", "data_freshness_label": "历史", "volume_score": 10, "window_score": 7, "barrier_score": 5, "trend_score": 1.5, "barrier_score_base": 5, "barrier_score_adjustments": [], "barrier_score_reason": "concentrated 基础分 5.0，无额外修正", "trend_score_base": 1.5, "trend_score_adjustments": [], "trend_score_reason": "shrinking 基础分 1.5，无额外修正", "priority_score_v2": 5.6, "priority_weighted_raw": 6.4, "priority_freshness_modifier": -0.75, "priority_override": null, "priority_level": "先研究", "rank": 2, "market_share": 0.09625647971032167, "suppliers_list": [ { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 1985184.2799999996, "pct": 0.6679933656548624, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 84, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": true, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.4706205513371111, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.9808556236569, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.9808556236569, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.9955637501432678, "supplier_delta": 0.5102350723197889, "supplier_status": "expanding", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0.4706205513371111, "2011": 0.45436807910475163, "2012": 0.6045449427809335, "2013": 0.7645660827297373, "2014": 0.9955637501432678, "2015": 0.9808556236569 } }, { "entity_id": null, "name": "未提供供应商名称", "fob": 986677.9900000001, "pct": 0.33200663434513744, "qty": 0, "shipment_count": 107, "avg_unit_price": null, "is_china": false, "supplier_first_active_year": 2010, "supplier_latest_active_year": 2015, "supplier_active_years": 6, "supplier_first_year_share": 0.5293794486628887, "supplier_latest_year_share": 0.019144376343099935, "supplier_last_active_year_share": 0.019144376343099935, "supplier_peak_year_share": 0.5456319208952485, "supplier_delta": -0.5102350723197887, "supplier_status": "declining", "supplier_share_by_year": { "2010": 0.5293794486628887, "2011": 0.5456319208952485, "2012": 0.39545505721906643, "2013": 0.23543391727026278, "2014": 0.004436249856732052, "2015": 0.019144376343099935 } } ], "active_year_count": 6, "name": "MEDIC PLAST S A", "tax_id": "21210616001" } }, "market": { "total_fob": 30874361.28, "importer_count": 157, "market_avg_unit_price_usd": null, "market_median_unit_price_usd": null, "hs_code": null, "hs_code_6": null, "product_category": null, "hs_description": null, "hs_description_zh": null, "hs_description_es": null, "total_records": 3011, "country": "乌拉圭", "country_code": "URY", "snapshot_date": "2015-07-29", "status": "published" }, "top_suppliers": [], "all_suppliers": [], "raw_supplier_count": 2, "raw_top_supplier_count": 0 }, "account_analysis": { "importer_procurement": { "annualized_shipments": 31.83, "frequency_tier": "高频采购账户", "avg_gap_days": 10.54, "gap_cv": 1.69, "rhythm_label": "项目/随机采购", "years_active": 6, "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": "2015", "avg_annual_fob": 495310.38, "benchmarks": { "p25": 1, "p75": 2.83 } }, "supplier_frequency_thresholds": { "p25": 0, "p75": 0 }, "trend_metrics": { "years": [ 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 ], "first_year": 2010, "latest_year": 2015, "first_year_fob": 697522.79, "latest_year_fob": 342398.2, "peak_year": 2010, "peak_fob": 697522.79, "avg_annual_fob": 495310.37833333336, "median_annual_fob": 503796.19499999995, "latest_vs_first_ratio": 0.4908774378540377, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.5091225621459623, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.4908774378540377, "peak_multiple": 1.384533660481497, "cagr_fob": -0.13264953785478084 }, "supplier_rollup": { "groups": [], "dominant_group": null, "affiliated_share": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "total_group_count": 0, "summary_text": "", "uncertain_group_pairs": [], "uncertain_group_summary": "", "by_supplier": {} }, "supplier_structure_metrics": { "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "exited_supplier_fob_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "top_supplier_metrics": null, "top_supplier_pct": 0.6679933656548624, "supplier_count": 2, "top_supplier_sample_count": 0, "external_group_count": 0, "affiliated_share": 0 }, "scenario_assessment": { "penetration_tier": { "key": "mid", "label": "中度渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "expanding", "raw_key": "expanding", "label": "主供扩张", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "shrinking", "label": "持续萎缩" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "concentrated", "label": "中度集中" }, "scenario_key": "mid_penetration_deepen", "scenario_label": "中度渗透 · 深化型", "opportunity_type": "份额争夺型", "action_level": "立刻开发", "entry_position": "扩大现有份额 / 深化渗透", "advantage_focus": "增量份额 + 现有基础", "resource_boundary": "先沿现有中国份额往上做，不必重走教育流程。", "matrix_mode": "mid_penetration", "size_tier": "Tier B", "output_depth": "compact", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0.6679933656548624, "annualized_fob": 495310.37833333336, "active_years": 6, "shipment_count": 191, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 5564.435418080966, "top_supplier_pct": 0.6679933656548624, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.4908774378540377, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.5091225621459623, "cagr_fob": -0.13264953785478084, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2010, "peak_fob": 697522.79, "latest_year_fob": 342398.2 }, "trigger_summary": [ "中度渗透（中国采购 67%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 49%", "中度集中（HHI 5,564 · Top1 67%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {}, "decision_summary": null }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2014, "last_year": 2015, "gap_years": 11, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2015年（相较2014年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2015 年，距今已 11 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "capability_summary": { "full": [ "total_fob", "market_share", "priority_score", "annual_trend", "cagr", "latest_vs_peak", "supplier_structure", "top_supplier_trajectory", "china_penetration", "scenario", "procurement_rhythm", "port_distribution", "market_benchmark" ], "degraded": [ "group_structure" ], "skipped": [ "price_analysis", "payment_distribution" ] } }