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"penetration_tier": { "key": "low", "label": "低渗透" }, "lead_supplier_motion": { "key": "no_dominant", "raw_key": "no_dominant", "label": "无明显主供", "override_applied": false, "reference": { "from_year": 0, "to_year": null, "from_share": 0, "to_share": 0, "delta": 0 } }, "demand_pattern": { "key": "shrinking", "label": "持续萎缩" }, "barrier_tier": { "key": "concentrated", "label": "中度集中" }, "scenario_key": "low_penetration_growth", "scenario_label": "低渗透 · 培育型", "opportunity_type": "新渗透型", "action_level": "先研究", "entry_position": "打试单 / 二供入口", "advantage_focus": "扩大试单 + 稳定交付", "resource_boundary": "先把小单验证做稳，不要一上来谈全面替代。", "matrix_mode": "low_penetration", "size_tier": "Tier C", "output_depth": "screening", "size_variant": "small", "compact_template": null, "trigger_metrics": { "china_penetration": 0.0006096269501095239, "annualized_fob": 114824.31999999999, "active_years": 6, "shipment_count": 163, "insufficient_data_shipment_threshold": 3, "hhi": 5074.767460360781, "top_supplier_pct": 0.6973117135231747, "top1_first_year_share": null, "top1_first_active_year": null, "top1_first_active_share": null, "top1_latest_year_share": null, "top1_peak_share": null, "top1_peak_share_year": null, "top1_share_delta_first_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_active_to_latest": null, "top1_share_delta_peak_to_latest": null, "latest_vs_peak_ratio": 0.2982957070714448, "latest_vs_first_growth": -0.47892886971771575, "cagr_fob": -0.12223269067414377, "exited_supplier_count": 0, "exited_supplier_share_total": 0, "new_supplier_count": 0, "supplier_price_gap_ratio": null, "peak_year": 2014, "peak_fob": 167737.01, "latest_year_fob": 50035.23000000001 }, "trigger_summary": [ "低渗透（中国采购 0%）", "主供稳定 · 0年 0% → 0年 0%（+0pp）", "持续萎缩 · 末年/峰值 30%", "中度集中（HHI 5,075 · Top1 70%）" ] }, "supplier_analysis": {} }, "time_context": { "first_year": 2010, "prev_year": 2014, "last_year": 2015, "gap_years": 11, "freshness": "stale", "trend_prefix": "截至2015年（相较2014年）", "warning_text": "数据截止 2015 年，距今已 11 年。报告更适合用来筛选历史上值得研究的客户，不应直接当作当前采购现状。" }, "price_analysis": { "sample_count": 0, "band_count": 0, "summary_text": "该 importer 缺少可计算单价的原始记录，价格带需要后续核验。", "bands": [] }, "decision_summary": null, "raw_export_summary": { "row_count": 163, "date_min": "2010-01-07", "date_max": "2015-07-22", "total_fob_usd": 688945.92, "hs_codes": [ "9018311990", "9018311910", "9018319090", "9018319019", "9018311110" ], "hs_breakdown": [ { "hs_code": "9018311910", "row_count": 94, "fob_total_usd": 488644.83999999997, "fob_share": 0.7092644368951339 }, { "hs_code": "9018311990", "row_count": 52, "fob_total_usd": 86693.45000000001, "fob_share": 0.12583491313802977 }, { "hs_code": "9018319019", "row_count": 6, "fob_total_usd": 70969.41, "fob_share": 0.10301158326041034 }, { "hs_code": "9018319090", "row_count": 6, "fob_total_usd": 22482.469999999998, "fob_share": 0.032633141945306816 }, { "hs_code": "9018311110", "row_count": 5, "fob_total_usd": 20155.75, "fob_share": 0.02925592476111913 } ], "supplier_raw_count": 1 }, "generated_at": "2026-04-17T00:21:22.539Z" }